Denver Broncos vs. Tennessee Titans Analysis & Total Prediction

by | Last updated Nov 11, 2022 | nfl

Denver Broncos (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) vs. Tennessee Titans (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS)

NFL Football Week 10

Date/Time: Sunday November 13th, 2022. 1:00 PM (EST)

Where: Nissan Stadium Nashville, TN


Betting Odds:

Point Spread: DEN +3/TEN -3 (Make Denver +23 or the titans +17 by inserting either into a massive 20 point NFL teaser at Wagerweb Sportsbook!)

Moneyline: DEN +130/TEN -150

Total: 39

The Tennessee Titans had their five-game winning streak snapped last Sunday night in a 20-17 overtime loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite not having QB Ryan Tannehill for the 2nd straight week, the Titans’ defense stood strong for the 2nd straight week against one of the best teams in the NFL. However, in the end, the Titans could not muster enough offense with backup QB Malik Willis who definitely struggled throughout the Sunday Night Football affair. On Sunday, Tennessee (5-3 SU) returns home when they battle the Denver Broncos at Nissan Stadium as mere 3-point betting favorites.

The visiting Broncos are fresh off a Week 9 bye and should come into Sunday’s contest well-rested. Most recently, in week 8, Denver pulled out a 21-17 victory over the Jaguars to snap a four-game losing skid. Even with the recent victory, the Broncos have underperformed throughout the season, and QB Russell Wilson has been at the forefront of those underwhelming results. Once thought to be the biggest acquisition in recent Broncos history, Wilson has completed a measly 57% passing this season with just six scores and four picks. Statistically, the Broncos are the 3rd worst offense in the league averaging 15.1 points per game and have taken a huge step backward from where they were a year ago with QB Teddy Bridgewater. Needless to say, Denver has a lot to prove coming out of this week’s bye and for the entire 2nd half of the season.

Denver Broncos vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Analysis

Titans starting QB Ryan Tannehill remains questionable going into Sunday’s match-up against the Broncos. Tannehill was able to log some limited practice this week, but there is still some concern around his mobility which could keep him sidelined for another week. Either way, the Titans will likely deplore another heavy ground attack with Derrick Henry, who has rushed for 100-plus yards in 5 straight games with seven touchdowns through that same stretch. Like or love it, Tennessee’s passing attack is among the worst in the league, but the running attack and strong defensive play will keep them competitive moving forward.

On paper, Denver has more weapons on the offensive side of the football. Wilson has a talented duo of receivers in Courtland Sutton and Jerry Juedy, combined with a serviceable backfield that is now led by Melvin Gordon. However, Denver has failed to utilize their weapons in the passing game to the extent needed to force solid production. Part of the reason is because of Wilson’s poor play and the other part is related to Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett’s determination to keep the ball on the ground. Stylistically, Hackett’s desire for a heavy ground attack is not ideal against a Tennessee team that ranks 2nd in the NFL, allowing just 87 yards per game. As a result, I expect Tennessee’s defense to match up well in this contest and would not be surprised to see another close defensive-biased outcome.

More Picks: Get Jay’s top bet for the Jags/Chiefs Week 10 game >>>

Denver Broncos vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Trends

  • Denver is 4-8 ATS in the last 12 games
  • Denver is 1-6 SU in the last seven games on the road
  • Denver has hit the “under” in seven of the last eight games
  • Denver is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings against the Titans
  • Tennessee is 6-0 ATS in the last six games
  • Tennessee has hit the “under” in each of the last five games
  • Tennessee is 11-5 SU in the last 16 games against Denver at home
  • Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in the last five games against AFC opponents
  • Tennessee has hit the “under” in seven of the last eight games at home

Denver Broncos vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Prediction

I think both defenses have extremely favorable match-ups in this game, especially if Willis gets his 3rd straight start. Either way, I think the low total is not low enough.

Jay’s Pick: Take the under 39. Bet your Week 10 NFL games for FREE by scoring a 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a FREE half point everytime you bet your favorite college/pro team simply by using bonus code PREDICTEM when you sign up for a betting account at GTBets Sportsbook! It’s the best bonus/promo on the web!