Houston Texans(4-7SU,7-4ATS) vs.Tennessee Titans(7-4SU,4-6-1ATS)
Date/Time:Sunday, December 3rd, 1:00pm ET
Where:Nissan Stadium – Nashville, TN
Point Spread:HOU +6.5/TEN -6.5
This Sunday in Nissan Stadium there is an AFC South game between the first place Tennessee Titans and the third place Houston Texans. Tennessee is trying to keep pace in the AFC playoff race while Houston is attempting to recover from a number of injuries that has sent this seasnon into a tailspin. These divisional games are always tricky and are not always so clear cut and “chalk” as one would think. These same two teams met in Houston back in October and the Texans, led by Deshaun Watson, destroyed Tennessee by a score of 57-14. Well, Watson is out for the season and this game will be much different than that one was…or least one would think.
The Tennessee Titans are 6.5 point favorites in this game while the total points are set at 43 combined. Not only do the books like Tennessee by making them a near full touchdown fave in this game, but the public is jumping on it too. 61% of the betting action likes the Titans to get the cover at home over Houston. Again, division games are tough and in many cases they end with much closer scores than people think.
The Houston Texans had appeared to have found their savior. Deshaun Watson was getting better and better each week. While there were times he made some rookie mistakes, there were also those moments that showed his potential to become a star in this league. Since the injury to Watson a few weeks ago, the Texans seem to have just accepted the fact that this is not their year. Houston has lost three of their last four games and is on the verge of being officially eliminated from playoff contention. So, do they dig deep, show some pride, and win this game? Or will Houston dial it in and get ran out of Nissan Stadium?
One area that Houston has a shot here is in that of the run game. The Texans are averaging 122 yards per game on the ground and if they can take advantage of this and control the ball against Tennessee, this could lead to a shorter game and the potential to keep it low scoring and closer than expected. The Houston defense will also be held accountable to get the Titans off the field. You cannot allow Marcus Mariota and the Titans to control the game. The Houston D must showup to have any shot in this one.
Tennessee, much like Houston, runs the ball very well. Having a mobile QB and a solid offensive line has played a big part of that in 2017. Tennessee is averaging 115 yards per game on the ground and if they are allowed success in the run game Sunday, it will be tough to beat them. The key this weekend for the Titans is to shut down the Houston run game. The Texans will not have the ability to beat Tennessee being forced to throw the ball. The Titans defense has not played great in 2017. Being ranked 23rd in points allowed has been the reason for a few of the Titan losses this season. Having said that, this team is still finding ways to win games and may have to do just that again this Sunday when Houston heads into town.
To be honest, I do not care that Tennessee is first place in the AFC South. I do not trust this team at all. Yes they have some decent wins, but overall in all three phases of the game, to me, they are just an average football team. Do I think Houston comes into the Music City and pulls the upset? Probably not. However, I also do not trust Tennessee enough to give up 6.5 points. I think Tennessee wins an ugly 23-20 type contest when it is all said and done.Yes, Tennessee will keep pace in the AFC South race but Houston will cover on the road.
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