Jacksonville Jaguars(0-5SU,0-5ATS) vs Denver Broncos(5-0SU3-1-1ATS)
NFL Week6
Date and Time:/October 13, 4:05 PM E
Where:Sports Authority Field at Mile High
TV:Direct TV
byJeffHochman,Pro Handicapper, JHSportsline.com
Point Spread:JAX+27/DEN-27
Over/Under Total:53
Bet your Jags/Broncos pick at an online sportsbook where you can make Denver a -7 favorite by adding them into a 20 point super teaser: 5Dimes.
The Denver Broncos will put its undefeated streak on the line whey they take on the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars at Mile High. Denver squeaked by Dallas 51-48 as 8-point road chalk despite getting out-gained by 5 yards. The Broncos are 4-1 ITS (in the stats) this season. Jacksonville hasn’t won a game and have looked awful in doing so. Their 0-5 ATS record is very telling. The Jaguars out-gained the Rams by 12 yards but still lost 34-20 as 11-point road dogs. Jacksonville is 1-4 ITS this season.
If Jacksonville is to keep this game close they will have to rely on a running game that is ranked last in the league. The Jags defense is allowingalmost40 yards less than Denver but that is mostlybecauseteams are forced to pass early and oftenas the Broncos are jumping out to huge leads. Jacksonville is putting up just 258 yards of offense compared to 489 yards by Denver. That is one of the biggest gaps ever in the history of the NFL. The betting line certainly reflects that..
No team has had success at slowing down Peyton Manning and the Broncos high-powered offense. The only hope for Jacksonville is that the Broncos play down to the level of their competition. The Broncos havescored50 points in two straight games. NFLfavorites of 10.5 or more pointsthat scored 45+ in two straight games are just 2-12 ATS in their very next contest. Denver plays at Indianapolis next week so Manning might be looking forward to thatgame a little bit. Did you see the official Twitter account for Denver mocking the Jags? Jacksonville has noticed and will be pumped up for sure.Look for Jacksonville to play its best game of the season and only lose by 20 or less points.
Jacksonville defeated Denver 24-17 as 3-point home chalk back in 2010. The Jags have won three straight games vs. Denver but the Broncos are acompletelydifferent team with Manning at QB.The Jags are 7-3 ATS vs Denver since 1995. The Jags are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record. Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 6. The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
The Broncos own the league’s 29thranked overall defense,surrendering28 points and 337YPG. Peyton makes up for it with a league leading 136.3QBR. All JacksonvilleQB’shaveQBRof 40 this season. You won’t get rich betting against Peyton Manning this year but this line is just way too high. In 2007, the Patriots were 25-point favorites against the Eagles and the final score was 31-28 Pats.
Jeff’sPick to Cover the Point Spread:Jacksonville Jaguars +27
The Broncos have a huge game next week at Indianapolis. NFLUnderdogs of 20 or more points are a perfect 6-0 ATS since 1985. Take the Broncos in yourEliminatorchallenge but take the Jags +27 at the window.
