Los Angeles Rams vs. Buffalo Bills Pick ATS

by | Sep 23, 2020 | nfl

Los Angeles Rams (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) vs. Buffalo Bills (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)

When: Sunday, September 27th, 2020– 1:00 PM ET

Where: Bills Stadium – Buffalo, NY

TV: FOX

Point Spread: LAR -2.5 / BUF -2.5 (MyBookie - Deposit $100, Get a FREE $100 Bet!)

Total: 47.5

Takeaways From Week Two

The Bills enter into this affair off a 31-28 win against divisional rival Miami Dolphins, last Sunday when Buff City ventured south to Miami. Though Buffalo won the game, they produced many ripped tickets as they were a huge public favorite play in Week Two, failing to deliver the goods as a 5.5-point choice. The hard-fought win was a contrasting excursion to the Week One dominance that Buffalo exuded at home against another divisional foe, the New York Jets where the Bills were easy money in a 27-17 win, where the Bills closed as a 6.5-point favorite.

The Rams come in off yet another high-profile win on Sunday, where they laid waste to the Philadelphia Eagles in the City of Brotherly Love by a score of 37-19. The Rams were a drop in the bucket as a two-point underdog and also cashed in many Money Line tickets while they were at it too. The victory heightens Los Angeles’ market presence and credibility as the Eagles were classed by many analysts as a team in trouble in the build-up to the Sunday meeting. With so many betting against the Eagles and winning on Rams tickets, Los Angeles comes into this week as a very sexy pick given the points they are taking back yet again here on the road for the second straight week.

How the Public is Betting the Los Angeles-Buffalo Game

The public has taken to the Rams here, who opened as a three-point dog out of the chute. As a result of the early consensus lean, the line has now reduced to the Rams, taking back a half-point less.

The Historical

Given the constraints of cross-conference scheduling, the Rams and Bills last met in 2016 in Buffalo, where the Bills defeated Los Angeles 30-19, covering as a 2.5-point favorite.

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Betting Trends

There are no notable betting trends in this series, but there are nonetheless some pressing trends that raise the stock of the Rams. Los Angeles is 3-0-1 ATS in their previous four outings and has covered in each of the four contests where they were priced as a road underdog.

Injury Concerns

The biggest injury concern in this game would lie with the Bills who have standout corner Josh Norman land on the Injured Reserve list due to a leg injury. Norman is a critical component of Buffalo’s secondary, which will undoubtedly be tested by their biggest offensive threat to date, most notably in Los Angeles’ air-raid style of offense. Norman will be a huge loss. On the LA side, Offensive Tackle Andrew Whitworth is sporting a questionable tag as he battles a calf injury.

Why We Like Buffalo To Cover

Last week, much of the betting public was on the Rams against the Eagles despite all the potential pitfalls that could await in backing a consensus dog fresh off an impressive showing in a Sunday Night win against a public team like Dallas. The Rams not only won outright as a 1.5-point dog as mentioned, but they did so convincingly, which has positioned them to be an even larger public pup this week. This only sets up the Rams for a hard fall, given how high their market presence has risen in just two weeks. On the flip side, Buffalo is now in a position to be undervalued after the world has bet them in the last two weeks, and they failed to produce profits in their most recent outing against Miami. Very simply, this is a sell-high scenario that we can exploit when it comes to Los Angeles.

Keith’s Pick to Cover the Spread: Buffalo -2.5

Handicapping breakdown aside, the Bills play at a higher level on their own pitch, and that is situationally a trouble spot for the Rams to see their cover streak as a road underdog placed in question. Buffalo can certainly win this game by a field goal at the minimum. Perhaps given the defensive connotation that this affair may very well likely offer, that may very well be the deciding margin. Make no mistake, this game will be a battle throughout, but I think Buffalo can easily win this game by a touchdown, let alone a field goal. Lay the 2.5 points comfortably. Note: As many of you know, 5Dimes Sportsbook has left the USA market. Did you know that you can still bet on football at -105 at BetAnySports? Same website platform, same great savings!

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