NFL Football Picks

Chicago’s ground game, led by D’Andre Swift, is averaging over 150 yards per game. Facing a Packers front missing its anchor, we analyze the point spread and why the Bears’ league-leading turnover margin makes them a formidable home favorite in this primetime rematch.

New York Jets vs New Orleans Saints (4.5) at JAC. Saints’ recent defensive improvement against Jets’ league-worst turnover margin creates clear value laying points.

With Dallas officially eliminated from the postseason, motivation becomes a massive variable. We dive into the red-zone efficiency gaps and turnover margins to identify the strongest ATS pick for this Sunday’s cross-conference battle at AT&T Stadium.

With rookie Jaxson Dart leading a developmental offense, the Giants are catching a field goal at home. Chad examines the total pick and situational trends that suggest this game might favor a higher-scoring outcome than the market implies.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers (-3) at LA. Sharp money backing improved home dog against inconsistent road favorite at key number.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders (PK) at LAC. Philadelphia’s elite red zone defense meets Washington’s inconsistent offense in decisive NFC East clinching spot.

Stafford vs. Darnold defines the division title. We break down the advanced stats to find the best bet for this Thursday night blockbuster.

A deep dive into Green Bay vs Denver betting, blending stats, models, and gut instinct to uncover value in this tight NFL matchup.