NFL Football Picks

Las Vegas dominated Miami in Week 1 while Los Angeles was upset at home. Joe Jensen takes the Raiders to cover the 6.5-point spread at SoFi Stadium, with the line movement and momentum shift driving the play.

Both NFC South rivals are 0-1 and looking for their first win. Joe Jensen takes the Panthers to cover the small spread at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with the head-to-head ATS trend driving the play.

A.J. Brown is out and TreVeyon Henderson is banged up for New England. Joe Jensen takes Pittsburgh to cover the 5.5-point spread at Gillette Stadium, with the Patriots’ injury issues and Maye’s Week 1 struggles driving the play.

The line has moved 2 points toward Chicago after their 59-point Week 1 explosion. Joe Jensen takes the Vikings to cover, with the Bears’ blowout largely reflecting Carolina’s defensive injuries rather than a repeatable offensive template.

Cam Ward had one of the worst Week 1 QB performances in the NFL. Joe Jensen takes the Under at Nissan Stadium with Philadelphia’s pass rush setting up to destroy Tennessee’s offensive rhythm.

The Saints nearly stunned Detroit in Week 1. Joe Jensen backs New Orleans to cover the 8.5-point spread at M&T Bank Stadium, with Baltimore’s ATS profile and injury concerns driving the play.

The total has moved up two points since opening. Joe Jensen takes the Over at MetLife Stadium, with both teams’ Over trends and Green Bay’s Week 1 offensive rhythm driving the play.

Both defenses showed up in Week 1. Joe Jensen takes the Under at Reliant Stadium, with the historical trend and both teams’ pass rushes suppressing what the market expects to score.

The Bills open their new Highmark Stadium against the Lions on Thursday Night Football. Joe Jensen takes the Over on the highest total of Week 2, with both offenses coming off Week 1 shootouts.

Joe Jensen breaks down the top player prop picks for Monday Night Football, targeting Patrick Mahomes’s passing yards, Bo Nix’s ball security, and Denver’s pass rush against a compromised Kansas City offensive line.