NFL Football Picks

Both starting QBs return from January playoff injuries. Joe Jensen backs the defending AFC West champion Broncos to cover on Monday Night Football at Arrowhead Stadium.

Jayden Daniels returns healthy for a divisional opener at Lincoln Financial Field. Joe Jensen backs Washington to cover the spread, with the historical ATS pattern in this matchup driving the play.

The Chargers are integrating new offensive and defensive coordinators for Week 1 while the Cardinals bring continuity. Joe Jensen takes Arizona getting the points at SoFi Stadium.

Kirk Cousins gets the start over rookie #1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza. Joe Jensen backs the Dolphins to cover on the road, with Miami’s historical dominance of this matchup driving the play.

Green Bay is down two stars (Josh Jacobs, Micah Parsons) for Week 1 in Minneapolis. Joe Jensen takes the Under in an NFC North opener that historically stays low-scoring.

Two 2025 division champions meet in Week 1. Joe Jensen takes Chicago to cover on the road, with Ben Johnson’s returning roster and Carolina’s depleted offensive line tilting the value toward the Bears.

Tua Tagovailoa gets the reluctant nod for Atlanta against Aaron Rodgers and a Steelers defense that generated 27 takeaways last year. Joe Jensen takes the Under in Pittsburgh’s home opener.

Two AFC playoff teams open the season in Houston with the spread at 1.5. Joe Jensen backs the Texans to cover at home, with C.J. Stroud’s contract-year motivation and the Under trend in this matchup leading the way.

Robert Saleh returns to face his former team as the Titans’ new head coach, but the Jets have owned this matchup lately. Joe Jensen takes New York getting the small number on the road.