NFL Football Picks

New England Patriots vs New York Jets (-13.5) at BAL. Patriots facing mentally defeated Jets in must-win spot creates perfect storm for blowout.

Tampa Bay is 7-8 and fighting for the NFC South, while Miami evaluates rookie Quinn Ewers. Discover why the efficiency gap and a 5.5-point spread at Hard Rock Stadium create a complex betting puzzle for Week 17.

New Orleans is averaging 20+ points behind Tyler Shough, but their league-worst red-zone TD rate remains a hurdle. Discover why the efficiency gap at Nissan Stadium favors the road favorites in a low-total environment.

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers (2) at KC. Houston’s elite defense and turnover creation neutralizes Chargers’ slight offensive advantages.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs (-13) at LV. Elite Denver defense vs third-string QB Oladokun creates massive mismatch favoring road favorite.

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings (-6) at LA. Sharp money pushing Lions spread higher despite ugly road trends signals quarterback talent gap too.

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders (-6.5) at Def. Rank. Dallas’s superior efficiency metrics create decisive advantage against Washington’s bottom-tier defense.

The Colts have dropped four straight. Three of those since losing Daniel Jones, while Brock Purdy is heating up for the playoff push. Is this big an ask for Rivers to end the Indy slide or keep this competitive and get the cover?

Derrick Henry is averaging nearly 100 rushing yards over the last two weeks and now faces a Patriots run defense that has dropped to 18th in DVOA. We break down the against the spread movement and why TreVeyon Henderson’s emergence in the Patriots’ backfield makes the 48.5-point total a prime target for a high-scoring Sunday night affair.

Las Vegas enters as a massive 14.5-point underdog, fresh off a shutout loss where they mustered only 75 total yards. We analyze the point spread and why Houston’s pass rush, led by Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter, is primed to exploit a Raiders offensive line that has allowed a league-high 49 sacks this season.