Washington Redskins (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) vs. Detroit Lions (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS)
NFL Week 7
October 23rd 2016 /Time: 1 PM EST
Where: Ford Field Detroit, MI
by Jason Green, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Lions -1
Over/Under Total: 49.5
Here come the Redskins! Washington is the defending NFC East division champion, but they lost their first 2 games of the season. However, they have reeled off 4 straight wins and now only trail the Dallas Cowboys by a single game. They beat the Philadelphia Eagles in their last game and while they gave up 21 points a couple of the TDs came on a kick return and a pick-6. They head to Motor City as a 1-point road underdog facing a .500 Lions squad.
The Lions have won 2 in a row and both were close games. They are in 3rd place in the NFC North, but still in the race. Like usual Matthew Stafford has had to do most of the work, as the Detroit rushing offense only ranks 26th in the league and the defense only ranks 22nd in opponents points allowed.
The Redskins have been playing solid D as of late and in their last 2 games they have given up 10 points and 21 points. Their defense only really gave up 7 points in their last game with the Eagles, with the kick return and pick-6, as in that game they stuffed the Philly rushing offense and also quieted down the Carson Wentz hype.
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In their win over the Eagles the Skins outgained them 493 to 239 in total yards holding Philly to only 145 passing yards and 94 rushing yards. Kirk Cousins had a solid game passing for 263 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT, but the rushing offense was one of the main reasons they won with 230 yards on the ground with Matt Jones rushing for 135. He has rushed for at least 117 yards in 2 of the last 3 games and he may go big again facing a Lions run defense that only ranks 23rd in the league. Oh yeah, the Lions pass defense is not much better ranking 24th
Stafford has put up some solid numbers this season and while, I am sure, he misses Megatron Calvin Johnson, Marvin Williams, Golden Tate, and Anquan Boldin are a trio that will give the Redskins fits. Washington ranks 17th in the league in pass defense and while that unit has had their issues this season they played well last week as did their pass rush, which will be key in this NFC match up.
Hey, what a shock the Lions cant run the ball. They have lacked a legit back for a while and this season their leading rusher in Theo Riddick and he has a grand total of 171 yards through 6 games. He is only averaging 3.4 yards per carry and with the season ending injury to Ameer Abdullah Stafford is the 2nd leading rusher. Riddick may be counted on more in this game, as while the Skins played the run well last week against the Eagles the run D still only ranks 28th in the league.
These teams have not met since the 2013 season in Detroit where the Lions beat the Redskins 27-20. The home team has covered the spread in 8 of the last 11 games between these teams.
The Redskins have covered the spread in their last 5 road games and they have covered in 6 of their last 8 games after a win.
The 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and in their last 5 games after an ATS win they have covered the spread 4 times.
I think this game will be a close one, but the Skins have the momentum and are playing well on both sides of the ball. Washington will win their 5th in a row in this game snapping the Lions and their 2-game win streak.
Jasons Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Redskins -1
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