Houston Rockets (52-30 SU, 46-41 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (48-34 SU, 44-42 ATS)
When: Friday, May 2nd, 9:00 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: Hou +5.5/GS -5.5
Total: 204.5
Money Line: Houston Rockets +191/-228
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Notable Injuries
Rockets
- Jock Landale (Questionable) Knee
- Jae’Sean Tate (Out) Ankle
Warriors
- No Injuries Reported
At 9:00 ET, the 7th-seeded Golden State Warriors (-228) will host the 2nd-seeded Houston Rockets (+191) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 204.5.
This game will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on ESPN.
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Houston improved to 52-30 on the season with a 131-116 win over Golden State on Wednesday. The Rockets covered the spread as 4-point favorites, and the teams combined for 247 points, well over the 202.5-point line.
A 15-0 run early in the game helped Houston take control, turning an 8-6 lead into 21-8. They dominated the first half, outscoring the Warriors 76-49, and while Golden State made a push in the 4th quarter, the Rockets’ big lead allowed them to cruise to victory.
Golden State dropped to 48-34 on the season after a 131-116 road loss to the Rockets on Wednesday. Entering the game as +4 point underdogs, the Warriors not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 247, significantly exceeding the O/U line of 202.5.
Houston took control early with a 15-0 run, turning an 8-6 deficit into a 21-8 lead. The Rockets outscored the Warriors 76-49 over the first two quarters. Golden State managed to tie the Rockets 31-31 in the 3rd quarter and outscored them 36-24 in the 4th, but it was too late to mount a comeback.
The Historicals
The level of competition has been tight in the five most recent games between the Rockets and Warriors, with just 1 point per game separating the teams. Houston has the ATS edge in this span at 3-2. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 207 points per game.
Analysis
Fred VanVleet’s 26 points and four threes at 66.7% shooting from deep helped the Rockets to a 131-116 win over the Warriors. VanVleet shot 61.5% from the field overall, and 14 of his points came in the opening quarter. Amen Thompson added 25 points, scoring 10 in the 3rd, while Dillon Brooks contributed 24 points, with 6 in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.
Houston connected on 13 threes, shooting 43.3% from beyond the arc and 55.1% overall. VanVleet hit four threes, and the Rockets’ shooting was a key factor in their victory.
Defensively, the Rockets were solid in the first half, holding the Warriors to 24 points in the 1st quarter and 25 in the 2nd. However, they gave up 31 points in the 3rd quarter and 36 in the 4th but still managed to secure the win.
Overall, Houston allowed Golden State to shoot 41% from the field, including 34% from three-point range, where the Warriors made 15 threes. The Rockets also sent the Warriors to the free-throw line 22 times, where they converted 15 attempts. Houston recorded nine steals and seven blocks in the game.
In Wednesday’s loss to the Rockets, the Warriors shot 41.7% from the field and 34.1% from three-point range, hitting 15 threes. Moses Moody led the way with 25 points and nine rebounds, connecting on three threes at 42.9% efficiency.
Kevin Knox added 14 points, while Stephen Curry contributed 13 points and seven assists, though he shot just 33.3% from the field. Moody scored 15 points in the 4th quarter, with Knox adding 12 in the final frame.
The Warriors struggled defensively against the Rockets, giving up 131 points on Wednesday. They allowed 40 points in the 1st quarter and 36 in the 2nd but tightened up a bit in the 4th, where they allowed 24 points. Houston shot 55% from the field.
Golden State limited the Rockets to 13 made threes, but Houston still shot 43% from deep. The Warriors sent the Rockets to the line 38 times, where they made 32 free throws. Defensively, the Warriors recorded 10 steals and five blocks.
Betting Trends
- In their last ten games away from home, the Rockets have a record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 111 points per game in this stretch.
- Although Golden State has a straight-up record of 1-2 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 101 points per game in these games.
- The last three games that Houston was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
- Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.
Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread
The Rockets were able to save their season by taking care of business at home in game 5. However, they are +5.5 point underdogs tonight vs the Warriors, who are looking to close out the Rockets in what has been a chippy series. Look for Curry and Butler to carry the Warriors to a win in game six and also to cover the spread.
