Joe Jensen

Rocker’s 17 walks in 37 innings shows better command than his ERA suggests against struggling lineups. The moneyline at -130 reflects Texas’s edge without inflating for Coors Field mythology. Find out which way this one goes.

The bullpen gap between these two teams matters less than the starting pitching profiles — Keller’s command against Liberatore’s volatility creates real separation. The moneyline at -108/-108 treats this like even money when the pitcher matchup leans one direction. The pick is inside.

Wrigley’s neutral environment makes Misiorowski’s 14.12 K/9 rate more valuable than the tight line suggests. The full read is inside.

Matthews struck out five in his debut while Houston grinds without Altuve and key bats. The pick is inside.

Falter’s 2.625 WHIP spells trouble, but the total at 8 still looks catchable. The pick is inside.

Cease’s slider dominance meets Warren’s command in a tight early duel before Yankees’ bullpen edge takes over. The pick is inside.

The bullpen gap between these teams matters less than McLean’s elite curveball against Griffin’s predictable cutter approach. The moneyline at -156 prices the pitching advantage correctly but eliminates any edge. Find out which way this one goes.

Comerica Park’s neutral environment amplifies Messick’s elite strikeout ability against a Tigers lineup missing Kerry Carpenter and other key hitters. The moneyline sits at -120 despite Cleveland’s demonstrated edge after yesterday’s 8-2 dominance over this same depleted Detroit squad. The pick is inside.