Georgia vs. Tennessee Prediction ATS 11/13/21

by | Nov 11, 2021 | cfb

Georgia Bulldogs (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS)

When: Saturday, November 13, 3:30 p.m.

Where: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tenn.

TV: CBS

Point Spread: UGA -20.5/TENN +20.5 (MyBookie - Offers Predictem readers a SPECIAL 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit up to $300 when you use promo code PREDICT100)

Total: O/U 56

Outlook

Georgia has almost finished the job, as the Bulldogs are well on their way to a trip to Atlanta for the SEC championship. The Bulldogs’ run to the SEC title game has been a formality, as Georgia has dominated every team that it’s come across in 2021, and the rest of the SEC East has simply bumped each other off from start to finish.

Tennessee would love to upset Georgia and finish second in the division, but that seems pretty unlikely, as the Volunteers would need to run the table and have Kentucky lose to Vanderbilt to take second in the division. But the Vols are in good shape to get back to a bowl game as long as they don’t let this game beat them more than once, always a concern when facing a juggernaut like Georgia. Truth be told, even covering would be a victory of sorts for Tennessee in this matchup: since Kirby Smart’s first year in Athens, Georgia has won every game in this series by at least 23 points.

How the Public is Betting the Georgia/Tennessee Game

The public has ridden with Georgia and is not changing now, as 61 percent of tickets have come in on the Bulldogs. The total has ticked up a point from 55 to 56, but the spread has not budged.

Injury Concerns

Georgia:
Cornerback Jalen Kimber (shoulder) and wide receiver Justin Robinson (hamstring) are questionable. Quarterback J.T. Daniels (back), linebacker Rian Davis (quadricep), defensive lineman Julian Rochester (knee), offensive lineman Tate Ratledge (foot) and defensive back Tykee Smith (knee) are out for the season and wide receiver George Pickens (knee), wide receiver Arik Gilbert (personal) and wide receiver Dominick Blaylock (hamstring) are out indefinitely.

Tennessee:
Offensive lineman Kingston Harris (undisclosed), running back Len Neth Whitehead (undisclosed) and defensive back Christian Charles (undisclosed) are questionable. Linebacker Juwan Mitchell (undisclosed) is out.

When Georgia Has the Ball

The question with Georgia is really how much damage the Bulldogs are going to need to do on offense, because the Bulldogs’ offense isn’t going to wow anybody. Georgia has mostly counted on Stetson Bennett to manage the game and let the open routes come to him, because eventually, the defense is going to get frustrated in needing to be perfect 100 percent of the time.

When Bennett isn’t attacking through the air, he’s mostly letting Zamir White get the job done on the ground. Georgia’s ground game is much stronger than you might think, as the Bulldogs average 190 yards per game on the ground and often set up their offense by attacking with White and wearing down the opponent. It’s not an offense that’s flashy, but it’s one that’s effective over four quarters. Most importantly, it’s one that doesn’t need to do a lot, because 14 points have been enough to win every game Georgia has played.

When Tennessee Has the Ball

Balance and points have been the name of the game for the Volunteers, as Tennessee is averaging 38 points per game and has put up at least 45 points in each of its past three victories. However, the Volunteers haven’t seen a defense anywhere near as talented as Georgia’s in that stretch. The closest anyone has come is Alabama, and the Tide were able to hold the Volunteers to just 24 points in Tuscaloosa.

The good news for the Volunteers is that Hendon Hooker is healthy and doesn’t make many bad decisions with the football. The Volunteers’ quarterback has thrown 21 touchdowns against two interceptions for the year, and Tiyon Evans heads up a robust running game that has kept Tennessee in most games that it’s played this season. But this is the biggest challenge that the Vols have faced all season, and it’s going to take a lot to go well for them to do much against Georgia.

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Betting Trends

This series has been one-way traffic over the past four seasons, as Tennessee hasn’t even come close to beating the Bulldogs since Smart got established in Athens. The Volunteers have lost each game by at least 20 points and haven’t shown any ability to slow down Georgia’s attack. The Bulldogs’ firepower has been the biggest reason why these games have usually gone over the total, as the number has cashed over in seven out of the past nine matchups.

But with Georgia not scoring a ton this season thanks to having to turn to Bennett instead of J.T. Daniels, this could be a situation where the under hits. That’s been the case for the Bulldogs’ past five contests, as nobody but Kentucky and South Carolina has hit double digits against them.

Weather Report

Weather-wise, these teams are going to wish that they’d played in the week, because the temperature in Knoxville is set to drop into the mid 40s by the time these teams kick off on Saturday.

Dan’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Tennessee has been playing better this season, but there’s a difference between challenging Mississippi and dealing with this Georgia team. The Bulldogs’ defense has been on another level, and the Volunteers aren’t likely to be the team that gives the Dawgs a battle here. Tennessee will fight hard, but the Vols don’t have enough to get by this defense. Give me Georgia to come up with a cover. Question: When you bet on games, are you laying -110 odds? 99.9% of you are going to answer YES. Did you even know that you could be risking only -105? Please, for the love of God, take 5 minutes to switch and start saving yourself hundreds (if not thousands) of dollars in risk by switching to BetAnySports! We’ve advertised them for over ten years here with ZERO complaints! Click here to start saving money TODAY!

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