TCU vs. Iowa State Betting Preview – College Football Pick and Prediction

by | Last updated Oct 3, 2023 | cfb

TCU Horned Frogs (3-2 SU, ATS 2-2) vs. Iowa State Cyclones (2-3 SU, ATS 1-3)

Date: Saturday, October 7th

Location: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA


Point Spread: TCU -6.5/ISU +6.5 (Did you know that you can bet on college football at -105 odds?)

Money Line: Texas Christian -244/Iowa St. +194

Over/Under: 50

The TCU Horned Frogs and Iowa State Cyclones matchup in a Big 12 showdown at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, IA. The over/under for this matchup is currently 50, while TCU is favored by -6.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

TCU took the most recent game between the team’s, picking up the 62-14 win over Iowa State. When looking at how the two offenses performed in this game, TCU ran for 131 yards while throwing for 246. As for Iowa State, they finished with 171 while running for 159.

TCU Horned Frogs Recent Form:

After their latest loss to West Virginia, TCU’s overall record now stands at 3-2. The Horned Frogs couldn’t secure the win and finished the game with a score of 24-21.

The over/under line for the matchup was 52, resulting in a hit for the under. Against the spread, TCU was tagged with the L, as they were favored by 13.5.

In TCU’s most recent loss, Chandler Morris not only threw for two touchdowns but ran for one as well. For the game, he threw for a total of 298 yards while completing 56.1% of his passes.

The leading rusher for TCU against West Virginia was Emani Bailey. For the game, he finished with 55 while carrying the ball 19 times. He did not rush for a touchdown in the game. The team’s top receiver was JP Richardson, who hauled in one touchdown and caught three balls for 87 yards.

Defensively, TCU allowed a total of 343 yards to West Virginia. This includes giving up 201 yards allowed on the ground and 142 passing yards. This season, the Horned Frogs’ defense has allowed 108.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 163rd. Opponents average 262.4 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 70.6 against TCU. They hold the 56th position in NCAA points allowed.

Away Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

Best Parlays

2 Team Parlay 3 Team Parlay 4 Team Parlay
sportsbetting 2.64 to 1 6 to 1 12.3 to 1
Bovada 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1
Mybookie 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1

Iowa State Cyclones Recent Form:

After losing to Oklahoma in their most recent game, the Iowa State Cyclones moved to 2-3 for the season.

Iowa State and Oklahoma combined for 70 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 48 points. In addition to losing straight-up, Iowa State did not cover the spread as 19-point underdogs.

Quarterback Rocco Becht threw for two touchdowns in Iowa State’s loss over Oklahoma. Overall, he had a passer rating of 58.65 while completing 45.5% of his passes for 188 yards.

Abu Sama III was the primary rusher for Iowa State vs. Oklahoma, with 67 rushing yards, carrying the ball seven times. Unfortunately, he didn’t manage to score a rushing touchdown in the game. The team’s leading receiver was Jayden Higgins, who contributed one touchdown and caught three balls for 91 yards.

Defensively, Iowa State allowed a total of 523 yards to Oklahoma. This includes giving up 157 yards allowed on the ground and 366 passing yards. This season, the Cyclones’ defense has allowed 123.6 rushing yards per contest, placing them 143rd. Opponents are averaging 215 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 69.4 when facing Iowa State. They currently hold the 49th spot in NCAA points allowed.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
DeShawn Hanika TE Poss. Suspension Out
Tyler Moore TE Undisclosed Questionable
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Betting Trends

  • On the road, TCU has gone 6-3-1 vs. the spread.
  • At home, Iowa State has gone 1-4 against the spread (last five).
  • Iowa State is 2-7-1 in their last ten games as underdogs.
  • TCU’s record vs. the spread in their three most recent games as the favorite is 2-1.

Line Movement:

In terms of the current moneyline odds, TCU currently has a 71% probability of winning, with a moneyline payout of -246. Conversely, the Cyclones’ implied win percentage stands at 34% on a moneyline of +194. Regarding the point spread lines, there has been some movement. Initially, Iowa State opened as the +5.5-point home dog. TCU as continued to climb up to a -6.5 road fav. The over/under market has seen a shift since when it opened, with the lines opening at 49 compared to where its currently as high as 51.5 at some betting shops.

Free Pick

Coming into the game, Iowa State is just 1-3 vs. the spread and TCU dominated their last matchup vs. the Cyclones. Even though they are on the road, I like TCU to cover at -6.5.

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