Tennessee vs. South Carolina Betting Odds, Trends, Prediction ATS

by | Last updated Nov 17, 2022 | cfb

No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS) vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS)

NCAA Football Week 12

Date/Time: Saturday November 19th, 2022. 7:00PM (EST)

Where: Williams-Brice Stadium Columbia, SC


Betting Odds:

Point Spread: TENN -22/SCAR +22 (Did you know you could be betting on games at -105 instead of -110? Imagine how much money you’d have saved over the years! Be smart! Make the switch to reduced juice sports betting at BetanySports Sportsbook!)

Moneyline: TENN -1600/SCAR +1180

Total: 66

After suffering their first defeat of the season at the hands of no. 3 Georgia and seemingly ending their Cinderella story, the Tennessee Volunteers bounced back in a big way last Saturday with a 66-24 blowout over Missouri. Despite the potential letdown situation, the Volunteers continued to flex their firepower on offense with QB Hendon Hooker who threw for 355 yards and accounted for four total touchdowns to help the Vols cruise past a 19-point betting spread. This Saturday, Tennessee will face another hefty betting line when they go on the road, as 22-point favorites, to battle the South Carolina Gamecocks at Williams-Brice Stadium.

The Gamecocks return home for the first time in 3 weeks after picking up a 38-27 win at Vanderbilt, followed by an embarrassing 38-6 blowout at Florida last Saturday. At 6-4 SU (5-5 ATS), the Gamecocks have not done anything spectacular this season. South Carolina captured wins over no. 13 Kentucky and Texas A&M in back-to-back weeks to improve to 5-2 SU earlier this year. At the time, those wins may have suggested the Gamecocks were emerging in the SEC as a potential contender. Instead, I believe bettors have learned that Kentucky and Texas A&M were among the most overrated teams all year. Since then, the Gamecocks have suffered a pair of ugly losses against Missouri and Florida, which have proven they are just an average, middle-of-the-road SEC team and, thus, the reason you are seeing a relatively large 22-point betting line going into Saturday’s SEC East match-up.

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Tennessee Volunteers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Analysis

From a betting standpoint, the Tennessee and South Carolina games have been very competitive throughout the years. In fact, this game has been decided by six points or less in eight of the last ten meetings. The reason that current betting odds expect a much larger margin of victory is simply because Tennessee has emerged among the elites in the SEC with one of the best offenses in America. I mentioned the stellar play of Hendon Hooker earlier, but it is worth reiterating as the star quarterback has thrown 24 touchdowns this season with only two interceptions. WR Jalin Hyatt has emerged as one of the top receivers in the SEC with 1,116 receiving yards.

While Tennessee’s passing attack gets a lot of the attention, the Vols have been equally solid on the ground behind a much improved offensive line. The ability to run the football is huge, especially against a defense in South Carolina that just got trampled for 374 yards against the Gators. Therefore, I don’t even believe a bad performance by Hooker would derail Tennessee from being able to move the football in this match-up.

Meanwhile, on the other side of the football, the Gamecocks have been disappointing all season with their offensive output. QB Spencer Rattler has been a big letdown, with just eight passing touchdowns and 9 picks this season. Running back Marshawn Lloyd has been banged up, and this Gamecocks offense has looked ugly in recent weeks. As a result, bettors would have to question the likelihood of how South Carolina will create enough scoring opportunities to keep pace with the Vols offense that leads the nation by averaging 47.4 points per game.

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Tennessee Volunteers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Prediction

If you have not followed South Carolina closely this year, perhaps you don’t know how truly awful this offense has been this season. The play calling has been a mess, the execution has been a mess, and it’s clear South Carolina needs more talent on the offensive side of the football. Against a high-scoring team like Tennessee, I have concerns that South Carolina’s offense will not be able to produce the points needed to cover. As a result, I like laying the points with the Vols!

Jay’s Pick: Take Tennessee -22. Bet your Week 12 college football picks for FREE by scoring a 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a free half point everytime you bet your favorite teams at GTBets Sportsbook!