UCLA Bruins vs Arizona State Sun Devils Week 10 Best Bet

by | Nov 2, 2022 | cfb

UCLA Bruins (7-1 SU, ATS 5-2) vs Arizona State Sun Devils (3-5 SU, ATS 4-4)

Date: Saturday, November 5th

Location: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ

TV: FS1

Point Spread: UCLA -10.5/ASU +10.5 (You can make the Bruins a +9.5 underdog by inserting them into a 20 point college football teaser found at Wagerweb!)

Money Line: California-Las Angeles -386/AZ St. +297

Over/Under: 62

RECENT FORM

This year, Bruins have an overall record of 7-1. In addition, they have also played well in
the Pac-12, going 4-1. This season, the Bruins have been favored in 4 games while posting an ATS
mark of 5-2. Their average over-under betting line is 54.62 leading to an over-under record of
6-1.

In their last game, the Bruins are coming off a 38-13 win over Stanford. In addition, they
added an ATS win, as they were 16.5 favorites on the spread. UCLA ended the game with a total of
199 passing yards on 29 attempts. However, they did not find the endzone. The team ended the game
with 5 rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 324 yards on the ground.

Quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson comes in the game having completed 167 of 231 passes for
a passer rating of 117.0. Overall, he has a total of 1971 passing yards. So far, the team’s most
productive wide receiver is Jake Bobo, who has caught 35 passes for a total of 526 yards. The top
option in the run game for the team is Zach Charbonnet, who has carried the ball 128 times for a
total of 964 yards.

In Pac-12 play, the Sun Devils have a record of 2-3, while sitting at 3-5 overall. This
season, the Sun Devils have been favored in 3 games while posting an ATS mark of 4-4-0. Their
average over-under betting line is 54.75 leading to an over-under record of 3-5-0.

In their previous game, the Sun Devils picked up a 42-34 home win over Colorado. This was an
impressive victory as they were also the 13.0-point underdogs. The team finished the game by
throwing for 3 touchdown passes. Overall, the Sun Devils had 435 passing yards on a completion
percentage of 74.4%. The team ended the game with 3 rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 122
yards on the ground.

So far, quarterback Emory Jones has a passer rating of 86.06 while completing 110 of his 176
attempts. Elijhah Badger leads the team’s receiving corps with 45 catches for a total of 627
yards. The Bruins have turned to running back Xazavian Valladay a total of 137 times for a total
of 760 rushing yards.

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BETTING TRENDS

In their last 10 games, UCLA has covered the spread at a rate of 90.0%, while putting together
a straight-up record of 9-1-0. On average, the team scored 42.1 points while allowing 24.1,
leading to a positive scoring differential.

Across their 5 previous road games, UCLA has an ATS mark of 3-2-0. Their straight-up record in
these matchups was 3-2-0 while averaging 37.0 points per game.

Against the spread, the Sun Devils have gone 6-4-0 over their last 10 games. Straight up they
have a record of 4-6-0. Their last 10 scoring differential sits at +0.3, as they averaged 26.8
points per game while allowing 26.5. The over-under record in these games was 4-6-0.

Across their 5 previous home games, Arizona State, has an ATS mark of 3-2-0. Their straight-up
record in these matchups was 2-3-0 while averaging 26.4 points per game.

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KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

So far, the Bruins are averaging 39.62 points per game on offense, which is good for 11th most
in college football. This should be a good matchup for the Bruins as Arizona State is giving up
28.75 points per game and has its problems getting off the field on 3rd down.

One aspect of the game that could benefit a UCLA offense that struggles to generate big plays
in the passing attack, is that they are facing off an Arizona State defense that has yet to
generate a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. So far, the Sun Devils are just 158th in
sacks per game.

On the ground, the UCLA offense is averaging 222.38 yards per game, good for 13th in the
country. This has come while ranking 47th in attempts at 38.25 per game. This week, the Bruins
will be facing an Arizona State defense ranked 127th in rush yards allowed per game. This year,
they have averaged 253.0 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Sun Devils will look to improve their offensive output,
as they are ranked just 78th in the NCAA in points scored.

Although Arizona State has struggled to move the chains on 3rd down throughout the season,
they have a chance to take advantage against a UCLA defense that is allowing an average of 24.25
points per game and has had its problems getting off the field on third down.

Although the Sun Devils have turned to the passing attack at a below-average rate this season,
they have an opportunity to find success through the air vs a UCLA defense allowing teams to
complete passes at a rate of 59.36%.

So far, the Arizona State offense is averaging just 133.5 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 32.12 rush attempts per game (110th). This week, the Sun
Devils will be facing a UCLA defense that is ranked 55th in rush yards allowed per game. So far,
they are averaging 130.29 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

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