Blue Jays vs. Tigers Picks & Predictions

by | Jun 10, 2022 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Friday June 10th, 07:10 ET

Location: Comerica Park

TV: SNET

Money Line: Blue Jays -190 / Tigers +156 (MyBookie - Takes credit cards with a high rate of acceptance!)

Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Toronto: José Berríos (4-2, 5.24)
Detroit: Elvin Rodriguez (0-1, 10.12)

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Alejandro Kirk C
Santiago Espinal 2B
Teoscar Hernández RF
Raimel Tapia RF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
George Springer CF
Bo Bichette SS
José Berríos P

Tigers Projected Lineup

Spencer Torkelson 1B
Tucker Barnhart C
Javier Báez SS
Harold Castro 3B
Austin Meadows LF
Daz Cameron RF
Miguel Cabrera 1B
Willi Castro LF
Jonathan Schoop 2B
Elvin Rodriguez P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Toronto Blue Jays: 33-23-0 SU / OU 26-29-1 / Run Line W/L 25-31-0
Detroit Tigers: 23-33-0 SU / OU 19-35-2 / Run Line W/L 27-29-0

The Detroit Tigers host the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday June 10th at Comerica Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-190), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The Blue Jays will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Royals by the score of 8-4. Toronto’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 13 hits, leading to 8 runs. The Blue Jays ended the game with just 4 runs on 12 hits. Blue Jays suffered the loss, despite being favored at -136.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 41 of their games, winning at a rate of 63.0%. With the over-under line set at 8.5 runs, the Blue Jays and Royals combined to go over this total. On the season, Toronto’s over-under record is 26-29-1.

The Blue Jays come into this game with a 3-2 record of their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +18. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 7.4 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.39. So far, Toronto has won over half of their 18 series played, going 11-5-2.

In their last game, Detroit took down the Pirates by a score of 3-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 4 hits. At the plate, the Tigers only came through for 3 runs on 9 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 105.0 on the moneyline, the Tigers still picked up the win. In their 41 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 37.0%. Combined, the Tigers and Pirates’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Now, Detroit had an over-under record of 19-35-2.

In their last 5 contests, the Tigers have just 2 wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -13 over their last 5 games. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 2.4 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 2.82. Detroit has a below .500 series record of just 5-11-2.

Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send José Berríos to the mound with an overall record of 4-2. So far, Berríos has put together an ERA of 5.24. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.11 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.279. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Berríos, averaging 1.6 homers per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 4.45 per game, on a K rate of 20.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.54 walks per contest.

Elvin Rodriguez gets the start for the Tigers, with an overall record of 0-1. So far, Rodriguez has put together an ERA of 10.12. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.0 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.308. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Rodriguez, averaging 3.38 homers per 9 innings pitched. Rodriguez is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.5 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. Rodriguez is allowing an average of 3.94 walks per contest.

Toronto vs Detroit History

Today’s game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers is their first matchup of the year. Last year, Toronto and Detroit each won 3 games, as they split the series. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 0-6, with the average scoring differential sitting at 1.83 runs. Last year, the two teams combined to average 4.5 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games when playing Detroit
  • Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 5 games when playing Toronto
  • Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers Prediction

Heading into Friday’s matchup between Toronto and Detroit, the Blue Jays are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. With a matchup against Elvin Rodriguez, look for Toronto’s offense to get off to a hot start. I recommend taking the Blue Jays on the runline.

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