Blue Jays vs. White Sox Odds & ML Pick

by | Last updated Jun 20, 2022 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Monday, June 20th, 08:10 ET

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field

TV: NBCSCH

Money Line: Blue Jays -114 / White Sox +104 (BAS – Stop overpaying for odds! It’s ridiculous! Pay less there!)

Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Toronto: José Berríos (5-2, 4.65)
Chicago: Lance Lynn (0-0, 6.23)

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Gabriel Moreno C
Teoscar Hernández RF
Santiago Espinal 2B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Alejandro Kirk C
George Springer CF
Bo Bichette SS
José Berríos P

White Sox Projected Lineup

Leury García CF
Reese McGuire C
Jake Burger 3B
Andrew Vaughn RF
Yoán Moncada 3B
Danny Mendick SS
Luis Robert CF
José Abreu 1B
AJ Pollock LF
Lance Lynn P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Toronto Blue Jays: 38-28-0 SU / OU 33-32-1 / Run Line W/L 29-37-0
Chicago White Sox: 31-33-0 SU / OU 31-30-3 / Run Line W/L 30-34-0

The Chicago White Sox host the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday, June 20th at Guaranteed Rate Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-114), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to add another win to their resume after pulling out a slim 10-9 win over the Yankees. The Yankees came up with 11 hits leading to 9 runs against Toronto’s pitchers. The Blue Jays benefited from an offense that generated 10 runs on 7 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 145.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. So far, Toronto has an above .500 over-under record of 33-32-1.

Over the Blue Jays’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -19. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 4.56. So far, Toronto has won over half of their 21 series played, going 12-6-3.

The White Sox are coming off a tight loss to the Astros, dropping the game 4-3. For the game, the pitching staff held the Astros to 4 runs on 8 hits. With their 6 hits, the White Sox could only plate 3 runners. Leading into Chicago’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 130.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 25 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 32.0%. Combined, the White Sox and the Astros matched the over-under total of 7.0. On the season, Chicago’s overall over-under record sits at 31-30-3.

In their last 5 games, the White Sox have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +13. Compared to their season average, the White Sox come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 6.2 runs per game. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 9-9-3.

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Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send José Berríos to the mound with an overall record of 5-2. So far, Berríos has put together an ERA of 4.65. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.48 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.257. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Berríos, averaging 1.52 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, José Berríos has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. This includes a per game average of 4.77 K’s per game. Throughout the season, Berríos has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.13 per contest.

For the White Sox, starting pitcher Lance Lynn has yet to factor into a decision. Lynn gets the start with an ERA of 6.23. On average, he has lasted 4.1 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.476. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Lynn, averaging 2.2 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Lynn is averaging just 4.0 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 18.0% of the batters he has faced.

Toronto vs Chicago History

For the season, the Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago White Sox will be playing their 4th game of the season. So far, Toronto is leading the season series, 3-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-0. The average run total in these games is 7.57 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.33 runs. Dating back to last season, the Chicago picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 1-5. Last year, the Blue Jays and White Sox averaged 7.57 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.0 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Blue Jays are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Blue Jays are 19-7 in their last 26 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
  • White Sox are 21-51 in their last 72 games as an underdog.

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox Prediction

Heading into Monday night’s American League matchup between Chicago and Toronto, the Blue Jays are the slight favorite on the moneyline. I recommend rolling with Toronto to pick up the win, as Lance Lynn is making just his 2nd start of the year. In his first outing, Lynn struggled against Detroit. Look for the Blue Jays to build off their 10 run outburst vs New York with another big night at the plate.

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