Braves vs. Cardinals Moneyline Bet 8/28/22

by | Aug 28, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Sunday August 28th, 07:08 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Braves +100 / Cardinals -120
Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Atlanta: Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 3.75) St. Louis: Adam Wainwright (9-9, 3.11)

Braves Projected Lineup

Vaughn Grissom 2B Michael Harris II CF Travis d’Arnaud C Ronald Acuña Jr. RF Eddie Rosario RF Austin Riley 3B Robbie Grossman LF Matt Olson 1B Dansby Swanson SS Jake Odorizzi P

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Tyler O’Neill LF Yadier Molina C Paul DeJong SS Lars Nootbaar RF Dylan Carlson CF Brendan Donovan 3B Tommy Edman SS Paul Goldschmidt 1B Nolan Gorman 2B Adam Wainwright P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Atlanta Braves: 79-49-0 SU / OU 65-55-8 / Run Line W/L 67-61-0 St. Louis Cardinals: 73-54-0 SU / OU 61-62-4 / Run Line W/L 72-55-0

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Atlanta Braves on Sunday August 28th at Busch Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:08 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Braves will look to rebound from a close, 6-5 loss to St. Louis. On their way to giving up 6 runs, the Braves staff allowed 9 hits. Offensively, they finished with 5 runs on 10 hits. Braves suffered the loss, despite being favored at -110.0. Through 107 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 69.0%. Together, the Braves and St. Louis combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.0 runs. Atlanta now has an over-under record of 65-55-8.

The Braves are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +24. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.98 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 7.6. So far, Atlanta has won over half of their 40 series played, going 21-12-7.

In their last game, the Cardinals picked up a close win over the Braves by a score of 6-5. St. Louis’s pitching staff gave up 10 hits, leading to 5 Braves runs. Offensively, they finished with 6 runs on 9 hits. Heading into action, St. Louis was the favorite at -110.0. So far, the team has won 70.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Cardinals and Braves combined to surpass the line of 7.0 runs. So far, St. Louis has an over-under record of just 61-62-4.

Across their last 5 contests, the Cardinals are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +3. Compared to their season average, the Cardinals come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 6.4 runs per game. On the season, St. Louis has won more than half of their series, going 20-10-9.

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Pitching Matchup

Jake Odorizzi gets the start for the Braves, with an overall record of 4-3. To date, Odorizzi has an ERA of 3.75 while lasting an average of 5.0 innings per appearance. So far, Odorizzi has a batting average allowed of 0.23. This season, Odorizzi has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.75 per 9 innings. This season, he has struck out 19.0 of the batters he has faced. This has led to a per game average of 3.83. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.55 walks per contest.

St. Louis will roll with Adam Wainwright (9-9) as their starter. Heading into the game, Wainwright has appeared in 25 contests, posting an ERA of just 3.11. On average, he pitches 6.24 innings per appearance. In his previous outings, right-hander opponents are hitting 0.239 off the right-hander. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below average rate against Wainwright, as he is allowing just 0.81 per 9 innings. Overall, Adam Wainwright has struckout 20.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 5.04 K’s per game. Wainwright comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 2.48 free passes per outing.

Atlanta vs St. Louis History

For the season, the Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals will be playing their 7th game of the season. Atlanta has the lead in the series at 4-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-4. The average run total in these games is 7.86 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.5 runs. Going back to last year, Atlanta won the season series, 6 games to 1. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-3. Last year, the Braves and Cardinals averaged 7.86 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.71 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
  • St. Louis is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Heading into Sunday Night’s National League matchup between Atlanta and St. Louis, the Cardinals have the slight edge on the moneyline. Although Adam Wainwright has given up just 3 runs over his last 3 starts, the Cardinals are just 1-2 in those games. I expect St. Louis to provide him with enough runs support tonight to pull out the win.

Free MLB Pick: Cardinals Moneyliune