Braves vs. Phillies Betting Lines & Predictions

by | Last updated Jun 28, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, June 28th, 07:05 ET

Location: Citizens Bank Park

TV: Bally Sports South

Money Line: Braves +105 / Phillies -115 (BAS – Odds cost less there! Why pay more! Be wise!)

Total Line: 8.0


Atlanta: Charlie Morton (0-1, 13.5)
Philadelphia: Zack Wheeler (6-4, 2.77)

Braves Projected Lineup

William Contreras C
Adam Duvall LF
Marcell Ozuna LF
Orlando Arcia 2B
Austin Riley 3B
Michael Harris II CF
Travis d’Arnaud C
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Charlie Morton P

Phillies Projected Lineup

Odubel Herrera CF
Matt Vierling RF
Didi Gregorius SS
Alec Bohm 3B
Bryson Stott 2B
J.T. Realmuto C
Nick Castellanos RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Zack Wheeler P


Atlanta Braves: 42-32-0 SU / OU 38-33-3 / Run Line W/L 37-37-0
Philadelphia Phillies: 39-35-0 SU / OU 41-31-2 / Run Line W/L 37-37-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves on Tuesday, June 28th at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Braves come into this game having suffered a 5-3 loss to the Dodgers. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Braves staff allowed 12 hits. On offense, the Braves finished with 3 runs on 8 hits. Atlanta’s loss came as the underdog, getting 100.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Braves and Dodgers stayed below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. Even after this game, Atlanta’s overall over-under record sits at 38-33-3.

The Braves come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. Even with this record, in these games, their scoring differential is just -1. Atlanta has put together this record, despite averaging just 4.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.72. Atlanta’s overall series record is just 9-9-5.

Philadelphia will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down Padres by 3 runs 8-5. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Phillies staff allowed 5 hits. At the plate, the Phillies scored 8 times on 13 hits. This was a good win for the Phillies, as they were underdogs at 145.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 25 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 48.0%. The Phillies and Padres went over the run total line set at 7.5 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 41-31-2.

Across their last 5 contests, the Phillies are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +6 (last 5). Philadelphia has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.0 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.76. Philadelphia has a below .500 series record of just 10-12-1.


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Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send Charlie Morton to the mound with an overall record of 4-3. So far, Morton has put together an ERA of 4.84. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.29 innings. Morton comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.240. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Morton, averaging 1.34 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Charlie Morton has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 27.0%. This includes a per game average of 6.14 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Morton, as he is giving up 3.15 walks per outing.

Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies, with an overall record of 6-4. In his previous outings, Wheeler has lasted an average of 5.71 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.77. This season opponents are hitting 0.231 against Wheeler. Throughout the season, Wheeler has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.36 per 9 innings. Per game, Zack Wheeler is averaging 6.62, on a strikeout percentage of 28%. Throughout the season, Wheeler has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.17 per contest.

Atlanta vs Philadelphia History

For the season, the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies will be playing their 5th game of the season. So far, the teams have each won 2 times. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-1. The average run total in these games is 8.37 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.0 runs. Going back to last year, Atlanta won the season series, 10 games to 9. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-10, with the average run total being 8.37 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.53 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Braves are 9-2 in their last 11 road games.
  • Phillies are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s AL East matchup between Atlanta and Philadelphia, the Phillies have a slight edge on the moneyline. Even though Zach Wheeler gave up just 2 runs in his last start, he only lasted 4 1/3 innings, as he gave up 7 early hits. Even still, he managed to rack up 8 K’s vs Texas. Look for the Phillies to pick up the home win over Atlanta.

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