Mets vs. Cubs Picks & Predictions

by | Jul 15, 2022 | mlb

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs
Date: Friday, July 15th, 02:20 ET
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: SNY
Money Line: Mets -135 / Cubs +113
Total Line: OFF (MyBookie - Use bonus code PREDICT100 and they’ll give you a 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Taijuan Walker (7-2, 2.63)
Chicago: Marcus Stroman (2-5, 4.91)

Mets Projected Lineup

Mark Canha LF
Dominic Smith 1B
Jeff McNeil RF
Eduardo Escobar 3B
Starling Marte RF
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Taijuan Walker P

Cubs Projected Lineup

Yan Gomes C
Alfonso Rivas 1B
Nico Hoerner SS
Patrick Wisdom 3B
Seiya Suzuki RF
Christopher Morel 2B
Ian Happ LF
Rafael Ortega CF
Willson Contreras C
Marcus Stroman P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Mets: 56-34-0 SU / OU 46-37-7 / Run Line W/L 49-41-0
Chicago Cubs: 34-55-0 SU / OU 42-42-5 / Run Line W/L 43-46-0The Chicago Cubs host the New York Mets on Friday, July 15th at Wrigley Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-135), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

The New York Mets are coming off an 8 run win over the Cubs by a score of 8-0. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Cubs to 0 runs on 8 hits. The Mets lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 12 hits, leading to 8 runs. In the matchup, New York was favored at -135.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 66 of their games, winning at a rate of 68.0%. Together, the Mets and Cubs combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. So far New York has an above .500 over-under record of 46-37-7.

In the Mets’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +10. New York has put together this record, despite averaging just 4.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.77. So far, New York has won over half of their 29 series played, going 21-5-3.

Chicago will look to move on from an 8 run loss to the Mets, falling by the score of 8-0. Chicago’s pitching staff gave up 12 hits, leading to 8 runs for the Mets. With their 8 hits, the Cubs could not muster a run. Leading into Chicago’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 115.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 59 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 37.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Cubs and Mets combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. Now, the team’s over-under record is back to .500 (42-42-5).

The Cubs come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 0-5 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -20 over their last 5 games. If Chicago is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 2.8 runs per game, compared to a season average of 4.26. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 9-15-5.

Pitching Matchup

Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Mets, with an overall record of 7-2. In his previous outings, Walker has lasted an average of 5.68 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.63. So far, batters are hitting just 0.225 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.42 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Per game, Taijuan Walker is averaging 4.53, on a strikeout percentage of 20.0%. Command has been a problem for Walker, as he is giving up 2.42 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Chicago turns to starter Marcus Stroman. For the year, he has a record of 2-5. Stroman gets the start with an ERA of 4.91. On average, he has lasted 5.11 innings per appearance. So far, Stroman has a batting average allowed of 0.242. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Stroman, averaging 1.41 homers per 9 innings pitched. Stroman has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 23.0% and a per game average of 4.8. Throughout the season, Stroman has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.28 per contest.

New York vs Chicago History

For the season, the New York Mets and Chicago Cubs will be playing their 2nd game of the season. So far, New York is leading the season series, 1-0. Through 1 game, the series’ over-under record is 1-0, with the average run total sitting at 7.71 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 8.0 runs. Chicago won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 4 wins to 3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 2-5, with the average run total being 7.71 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.43 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our Philadelphia at Miami free pick 7/15/22

Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Prediction

Heading into Friday’s matchup between New York and Chicago, the Mets are the slight favorite to pick up the win. However, I see New York on the moneyline as a great value, as I see the Cubs struggling against Taijuan Walker. On the other side, look for the Mets to get after Marcus Stroman early. I recommend taking the Mets to come away with the win.

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