Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Pick 7/6/22

by | Jul 6, 2022 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Wednesday, July 6th, 02:10 ET

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field

TV: NBCSCH

Money Line: Twins -110 / White Sox -110 (GTBets - 100% bonus up to $500! UNDERRATED book!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Minnesota: Joe Ryan (6-3, 3.0)
Chicago: Lance Lynn (1-1, 4.5)

Twins Projected Lineup

Alex Kirilloff 1B
Gio Urshela 3B
Jorge Polanco 2B
Gary Sánchez C
Max Kepler RF
Ryan Jeffers C
Carlos Correa SS
Luis Arraez 1B
Byron Buxton CF
Joe Ryan P

White Sox Projected Lineup

AJ Pollock LF
Leury García 2B
Gavin Sheets RF
Yoán Moncada 3B
Reese McGuire C
Luis Robert CF
José Abreu 1B
Tim Anderson SS
Andrew Vaughn 1B
Lance Lynn P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Minnesota Twins: 47-37-0 SU / OU 37-41-6 / Run Line W/L 38-46-0
Chicago White Sox: 38-41-0 SU / OU 38-37-4 / Run Line W/L 37-42-0

The Chicago White Sox host the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday, July 6th at Guaranteed Rate Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Chicago as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Minnesota Twins will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the White Sox by a score of 8-2. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 2 runs on 10 hits. The Twins lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 12 hits, leading to 8 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 115.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 9.0 runs, the Twins and White Sox combined to go over this total. The Twins now have an over-under record of 37-41-6.

In the Twins’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +9. Overall, Minnesota is averaging 4.50 runs per game. Over their last 5 contests, they have been producing at a similar rate, at 4.50. So far, Minnesota has won over half of their 26 series played, going 14-8-4.

Chicago is coming off a 6 run loss to the Twins. Dropping the game 8-2. Chicago’s pitching staff gave up 12 hits, leading to 8 runs for the Twins. With their 10 hits, the White Sox could only plate 2 runners. Chicago dropped the game despite being favored at -135.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 45 games, winning at a rate of 53.0%. The White Sox and Twins went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 38-37-4.

In their last 5 games, the White Sox have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +3. Chicago has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.8 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.22. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 11-12-3.

Pitching Matchup

Minnesota will roll with Joe Ryan (6-3) as their starter. In his previous outings, Ryan has lasted an average of 5.5 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.0. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.208. Ryan is giving up home runs a rate similar to the league average, allowing 0.95 per 9 innings. Per game, Joe Ryan is averaging 5.0, on a strikeout percentage of 22.0%. Throughout the season, Ryan has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.45 per contest.

In today’s game, Chicago turns to starter Lance Lynn. For the year, he has a record of 1-1. Lynn gets the start with an ERA of 4.5. On average, he has lasted 5.5 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.261. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Lynn, averaging 1.23 homers per 9 innings pitched. Lynn is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 5.5 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. Lynn has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 2.05 per contest.

Minnesota vs Chicago History

Today’s matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox will be their 6th meeting of the season. Minnesota has the lead in the series at 5-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-1. The average run total in these games is 10.21 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.8 runs. Dating back to last season, Chicago picked up 13 wins compared to 6, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 11-7. Last year, the Twins and White Sox averaged 10.21 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.0 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
  • Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox’s last 5 games at home
  • Chi White Sox is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s AL Central matchup between Minnesota and Chicago, the oddsmakers have this game as a pick’em. However, I give the edge to the Twins, as Joe Ryan should continue his strong season against an inconsistent White Sox lineup. Look for Chicago to struggle against Ryan and his WHIP of just 1.05. I like Minnesota on the moneyline.

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