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MLB Betting Trends: 6 Games to Watch 7-6-2018

by | Jul 6, 2018 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (7:05 PM EST)

Miami is 17-27 in road games, 9-17 vs division foes, 10-15 vs. LH starters, 5-12 in their last 17 road games vs. a southpaw, 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a lefty starter, 2-5 in their last 7 vs. NL East, they aren’t beating up mediocre pitching as they’re 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 4-9 in Dan Straily’s last 13 road starts, 1-6 in Straily’s last 7 starts, 7-20 in the last 27 meetings vs. Washington and Miami haven’t played well @ Washington as they’re 16-43 in the last 59 meetings at Nationals Park.

The Nats are 14-6 (+6.0 Units) against Miami over the last 3 seasons, 35-25 vs. righties, 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record, Gio Gonzalez is 10-3 when starting against the Marlins with an ERA of 1.85 and a WHIP of 1.04, 5-1 in Gio Gonzalez’s last 6 home starts, 4-1 in Gonzalez’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game, 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last 4 starts vs. the Fish, 6-1 in Gonzalez’s last 7 home starts vs. Marlins, We’ll throw in this oddball tidbit as well, even though it’s more for entertainment purposes: The home team is 36-17 in Mike DiMuro’s last 53 games behind home plate.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 PM EST)

The Phils are 6-1 in their last 7 games, 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day, 7-3 overall after a day off, have won 4 straight, have beaten Pittsburgh 4 in a row, are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter, 4-1 in their last 5 road games, 4-1 in their last 5 vs. NL Central, 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series, 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record, 9-1 in Nick Pivetta’s last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have struggled to beat good teams as they are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. a team with a winning record, they don’t do well vs. sub par pitchers as they are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, they’ve dropped 4 of their last 5, are 2-9 over their last 11 vs. the NL East, are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter, have dropped their last 5 games at home, and are 2-6 in Trevor Williams’ last 8 starters.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM EST)

The Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 games, have showed bounce back ability as they’re 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss, are hitting good pitchers as they’re 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and are 44-18 in their last 62 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.

The NYM are 17-40 in their last 57 overall, 13-27 in their last 40 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter, 7-22 in their last 29 home games, 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League East, 5-17 in their last 22 interleague games, 5-18 in their last 23 games following a win, 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games, 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 1-10 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series, 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day, 0-6 in their last 6 Friday games, 1-7 in deGroms last 8 starts and all their wives are ugly.

Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros

The ChiSox are 27-55 in their last 82 overall, 0-4 in their last four games vs. Hou, 21-45 in their last 66 games vs. a right-handed starter, 24-56 in their last 80 road games, 18-44 in their last 62 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, 4-10 in their last 14 games following a loss, 4-8 on Friday’s this season, 14-38 in their last 52 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 13-39 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record and are 1-6 in Reynaldo Lopez’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

The Houston Astros are 37-16 in their last 53 overall, 45-20 in their last 65 home games, 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, 46-17 in their last 63 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 56-21 in their last 77 games vs. a RH starter, 6-0 in Lance McCuller’s Jr.s last 6 starts, 12-5 in McCullers Jr.s last 17 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and are 9-3 as a home favorite of -250 to -330.

Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals (8:15 PM EST)

Boston is 59-28 in their last 87 overall, 6-1 after shutting out their last opponent, 4-1 in their last 5 road games, 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400, 38-13 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 19-7 in their last 26 games following an off day, 42-16 in their last 58 road games vs. a right-handed starter and are 10-2 in Chris Sale’s last 12 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

KC 11-32 in home games this season, 13-38 in night games, 13-38 in their last 51 overall, 16-36 in their last 52 home games, 15-36 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning ptc. above .600, 0-6 as a home underdog of +175 or more, 16-39 in their last 55 games following a loss, 7-20 in their last 27 vs. AL East, 3-12 in their last 15 games following an off day, 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games, 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600, 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 8-20 in Jason Hammel’s last 28 starts and 1-6 in Hammel’s last 7 home starts..

The L.A. Dodgers are heating up! The team has won 4 in a row, 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 11-1 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series, 13-3 in their last 16 road games, 5-1 in their last 6 Friday contests, 14-4 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 20-7 in their last 27 interleague games, 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter, 81-32 in their last 113 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, 27-11 in their last 38 games following an off day, 5-1 in Kenta Maeda’s last 6 interleague starts and 7-2 in Maeda’s last 9 Friday starts. In Maeda’s last start vs. the Angels (6/27/17), he blanked them over 7 innings, allowing only 4 hits.

The Angels have only won 3 of their last 12 games, struggle to beat good teams as they are 17-35 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record, 1-10 at home when the money line is +125 to -125, 3-7 in their last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 8-21 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning record, 2-6 in their last 8 games following a loss and are 3-12 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

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