76ers vs. Celtics Odds, Trends, Point Spread Prediction 10/18/22

by | Oct 18, 2022 | nba

Philadelphia 76ers (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
When: Tuesday, October, 18th, 7:30 PM (ET)
Where: TD Garden, MA, Boston
TV: TNT

Point Spread: PHI +2.5/ BOS -2.5
Total: 216.5
Money Line: Philadelphia 76ers +111/ -132

Recent Form

In the 2021-2022 regular season, the 76ers season ended with a 2nd round loss to Miami. The
team entered the playoffs ranked 4th in the Eastern on a record of 51-31. A large part of last
year’s success came from the ability to play well on the road, going 27-14 away from home.
Against Eastern Conference teams, the Celtics played well, going 33-19.

This year, the Celtics will look to once again make a deep run in the playoffs, as they fell
just short of the NBA Finals. During the regular season, Boston went 51-31, good for 2nd in the
East. Last year’s team was good at home, finishing with an above .500 record (28-13). Last year,
the Celtics will look to continue last year’s success in the Eastern, as they went 33-19.

The Historicals

In addition to ending their head-to-head series in a split, the 76ers and Celtics both had
records of 2-2 in the games Boston. Last year, the 76ers saw a drop in overall scoring when
playing the Celtics, averaging 98.25 points per game. While the 76ers struggled on offense in the
series, the Celtics maintained their usual level of scoring at 106.25 vs Philadelphia. The 76ers
had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring
margin in these contests sits at 5 points per game. A combined average of -5 points per game was
achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

This year, the 76ers will look to take a jump in offensive production, as they finished the
2021-2022 season ranked 18th in points per game (109.9). In today’s game, they are facing off
against a Boston defense that ranked 1st in the fewest points allowed per game. Last season,
Philadelphia went just 15-17 vs strong defensive units.

Going into the season, the 76ers are expecting another big year from Joel Embiid, who led the
team with 30.57 points per game last year. On the season, he hit 49.9% of his field goal attempts
and grabbed 11.71 rebounds per game. For today’s game, he will be facing off against one of the
NBA’s best defenses at limiting the production of opposing centers.

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This year, the Warriors will look to take a jump in offensive production, as they finished the
2021-2022 season ranked 15th in points per game (111.0). In today’s game, Golden State is facing
off against a Los Angeles defense that finished near the league average in points allowed per
game. Last year, the Warriors had a record of 22-8 vs teams in the bottom third of the league in
points allowed.

Golden State will be turning to Curry to once again carry the scoring load, as last year he
averaged 25.47 points per game for the team. In addition to his scoring, Curry pulled down 5.23
boards per game for the Warriors. In today’s game, he could be primed for a good offensive
showing, as Los Angeles struggled to defend point-guards in the 2021-2022 season.

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Betting Trends

The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers’s last 5 games when playing
Golden State The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers’s last 5 games on the road Golden State is
13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Heading into the season, the Los Angeles Lakers already have a lengthy injury report. Even
though Lebron James, Anthony Davis, and Russell Westbrook are all expected to play, they each
appear to be nursing nagging injuries. On the other side, the Warriors are 6.5-point favorites as
they kick off their title defense. Look for Golden State to not only pick up the win but also
cover the spread.