Celtics vs. Grizzlies Betting Predictions & Analysis

by | Apr 10, 2022 | nba

Boston Celtics (50-31 SU, 42-36-3 ATS) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (56-25 SU, 52-28-1 ATS)

When: Sunday April 10 2022, 07:00 PM (ET)

Where: FedEx Forum, Memphis, Tennesee

TV: NBCSB

Point Spread: BOS -2.5/MEM +2.5 (Opened BOS -2.5 at BetNow - They’ll give you a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit up to $500 if you use bonus code Predictem)

Total: 228.5 (Opened at 227.5)

Money Line: Boston -144/Memphis 119

Power Rating: BOS -3

Probable Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart, SG Jaylen Brown, SF Jayson Tatum Off Inj, PF Grant Williams, C Al Horford Off Inj

Memphis Grizzlies PG Tyus Jones, SG De’Anthony Melton, SF Ziaire Williams, PF Kyle Anderson, C Xavier Tillman

Key Injuries

Boston Celtics
Nik Stauskas: Ankle (OUT)
Robert Williams III: Knee (OUT)

Memphis Grizzlies
Tyrell Terry: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Jarrett Culver: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Santi Aldama: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Killian Tillie: Knee (OUT)

The Memphis Grizzlies host the Boston Celtics in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the FedEx Forum.

Recent Form

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 50-31, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 22-18. Over their last five games, the Celtics have played well, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Boston is averaging 122.0 points per game, 11.0 points more than their season average of 111.4. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. Even though Boston has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 110.0 points per game, up from the Celtics’ usual rate of 104.4. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, the team fell to Milwaukee by a score of 127-121.

The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with an overall record of 56-25, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Memphis is above .500 at home, holding a record of 30-10. The Grizzlies have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Memphis is averaging 120.0 points per game, 4.0 points more than their season average of 115.7. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though the Grizzlies have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 116.0 points per game, up from Memphis’s usual rate of 109.6. In the Memphis Grizzlies’ most recent game, Memphis took down New Orleans by a score of 141-114.

Reduced Juice Sportsbook

BAS Sportsbook
BET AT -105
 
 

Individual Player Analysis

As Boston travels to take on the Memphis Grizzlies, the Celtics’ leading scorer is Jayson Tatum. Through 75 games, Tatum is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 47.0% of his games. As Tatum gets set to take on the Grizzlies, he could be in line for a big game as Memphis is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.85% of their games. This figure places them 26th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Ja Morant leads the Grizzlies in scoring, averaging 27 points across his 56 games. Throughout the season, Morant has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. On the season, the Celtics have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.77% of their games, giving them a rank of 18th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Grizzlies come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.8 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Memphis is winning at a rate of 75%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 20.0 points. On the other side, the Celtics hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 39 games as the better defensive team, picking up 21 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Boston Celtics and Memphis Grizzlies have met up for 1 game. Boston took game one by a score of 120-107.

How the Public is Betting the Celtics vs Grizzlies

67% are betting the Grizzlies against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of No Odds

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
  • Grizzlies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Boston Celtics come into this game tied for 3rd in the Eastern Conference with the Philadelphia 76ers. The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with nothing to play for in terms of seeding. However, if the Bucks lose their final game and the Celtics win today’s vs the Grizzlies, it will be Boston that takes the 2 seed via their superior record against Eastern Conference teams. On the other side, Memphis was thrilled to welcome Ja Morant back to the lineup in a pounding of the New Orleans Pelicans. Even though Morant is not listed on the injury report, look for the team to be careful with their point guard, as they will be playing on back-to-back nights. With Boston sitting as 2.5 point road favorites, I expect them to pull out the win and cover vs the Grizzlies.