Celtics vs. Warriors Betting Analysis & Pick 12/10/22

by | Dec 10, 2022 | nba

Boston Celtics (21-5 SU, 17-9-0 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (13-13 SU, 12-14-0 ATS)
When: Saturday, December 10th, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco
TV: ABC

Point Spread: BOS -3.0/ GS +3
Total: 230.5
Money Line: Boston Celtics -149/ +122

Notable Injuries

Celtics

  • Al Horford (Out) Health Protocols
  • Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
  • Robert Williams III (Out) Knee

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (Out) Hip
  • Andrew Wiggins (Out) Adductor

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Boston is 21-5 overall. When taking to the road, Boston has a mark of 10-3 and a win percentage of 77.0%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 17-9-0 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Golden State, the Boston Celtics have won 3 straight games and will look to push that mark to 4 in a row.

In their upcoming game, Boston will be looking to capitalize on their recent win over the Suns. Jayson Tatum led the way for the Celtics with 25 points. Despite being 2 point underdogs on the spread, the Celtics were able to secure an ATS win.

Heading into the game, Golden State is 13-13 overall. When playing at home, Golden State has a mark of 11-2 and a win percentage of 85%. Currently, the team is 11th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 12-14-0 vs. the spread. The Warriors need a win in today’s matchup vs. Boston to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their last game, Golden State was defeated by Jazz with a score of 124-123. Despite Jordan Poole scoring 36 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Warriors were 5-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the 2021-2022 regular season, the Warriors and Celtics split their head-to-head season series. In these matchups, each team won on their opponent’s home floor. Similar to their season-long average, the Celtics averaged 108.5 points per game vs. the Warriors. While the Celtics were able to maintain their usual level of production against Golden State, the Warriors averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 99.5. Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +7 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. Over the course of these games, they averaged 201 points per game, leading a 1-4 over-under record.

Analysis

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 120.8 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.5 possessions per contest. The Celtics have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 1st in a 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 41.5 attempts per game. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Going into today’s game, Jayson Tatum is the leading scorer for the Boston team with an average of 30.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 48.0%. The team’s second top scorer is Jaylen Brown, who is averaging 26.7 points per game.

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.4 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 102.3 possessions per game. Golden State’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 6th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.7%. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Coming into today’s game, Stephen Curry is the leading scorer for Golden State at 30.0 points per game. This season, Curry has a field goal percentage of 49.9%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jordan Poole, at 17.7 points per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points.
  • The Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.
  • The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up loss.
  • The Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Celtics are playing as good of basketball as any team in the NBA has played this year. They’re catching the Warriors at a time when they’re not playing their best basketball. I like the Celtics to win by 7+ Saturday.