Golden State Warriors vs. Indiana Pacers Predictions 12/13/21

by | Dec 13, 2021 | nba

Golden State Warriors (21-5 SU, 17-8-1 ATS) vs. Indiana Pacers (12-16 SU, 14-13-1 ATS)

When: Monday December 13 2021, 07:00 PM (ET)

Where: Bankers Life Fieldhouse: Indianapolis, Indiana


Point Spread: GSW -4.0/IND 4.0 (Opened at GSW -4.5 at BetOnline)

Total: 214.0 (Opened at 213.5)

Money Line: Golden State -195/Indiana 165)

Power Rating: GSW -4.5

Probable Starting Lineups

Warriors: PG Stephen Curry, SG Jordan Poole, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

Pacers: PG Malcolm Brogdon, SG Caris Lavert, SF Justin Holida, PF Domantas Sabonis, C Myles Turner

Key Injuries

Klay Thompson: knee (QUESTIONABLE) James Wiseman: knee (OUT)

Justin Holiday: illness (OUT) T.J. McConnell: wrist (OUT) Brad Wanamaker: illness (QUESTIONABLE) T.J. Warren: foot (QUESTIONABLE)

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors enter today’s game, having won seven of their past ten games. When playing away from home, the Warriors are an above .500 team, having gone 7-3. As the road team, Golden State travels to Indiana with a positive plus-minus rating of 5.7 points. Overall the Warriors are ranked 1st among NBA teams in point differential (0.9).
Among NBA teams have played the 26th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Golden State Warriors to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they cover in 68.00% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 5.7.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Stephen Curry. So far, he is averaging 27.08 points per game, placing him first among point guards. Curry is also the team’s best three-point shooter, connecting on 5.4 shots from downtown per game. Draymond Green has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 7.88 boards per game.

The Indiana Pacers enter today’s game, having won 3 straight games. In their past ten contests, the Pacers’ have picked up five wins. As they get set to host the Warriors, Indiana has a positive home plus-minus of 4.3 points. Overall the Pacers are ranked 10th among NBA teams with an even point differential. This mark has come while playing the 12th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Pacers to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they are covering in 51.90% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 1.3.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SG Malcolm Brogdon. So far, Brogdon is averaging 19.91 points per game. Justin Holiday has been the team’s leading three-point shooter, connecting on 2.39 shots from downtown per game, while Domantas Sabonis has been in charge of cleaning up the glass at 11.89 boards per game.

An Eye On Pace

Heading into this game, the Indiana Pacers are the 23rd ranked team in possessions per game. Through 28 games, the team ranks just 19th in attempted three-point shots per contest. So far, they have also struggled to generate free-throw attempts, ranking 27th. On the other side, Golden State prefers to get up and down the court, ranking 7th in the NBA. With their increased number of looks, the unit sits second in the league in three-point attempts.

Efficiencies And Matchups

The key matchup to watch in this game will be how Indiana responds to a team looking to hoist as many threes as possible. So far, the Pacers have given up the second-fewest three-point attempts. On the year, teams have preferred to work the ball inside, where Indiana tends to foul and send opponents to the line. Look for the Pacers to struggle on offense against the league’s number one rated defense. So far, Golden State opponents are hitting just 32% of their three-point attempts.

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The Historicals

Tonight’s matchup between the Warriors and Pacers will be their first meeting of the season. Last year, both teams won on each other’s home court. Indiana had the largest margin of victory, defeating Golden State by 9 points.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs. Pacers

64% are betting the Warriors against the spread.

56% are wagering on the game to go Over the posted total of 213

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight-up loss.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
  • Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Pacers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

In this game, look for Golden State to impose its will by getting up and down the court, forcing Indiana to play an unfamiliar style. Throughout the year, the Pacers have found the most success by slowing the game down and attacking the basket. If they are going to pull off the upset, they will have to match the Warriors’ offensive firepower. I don’t see this happening in tonight’s matchup and recommend taking Golden State to win and cover the spread.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

Even though I see the Pacers falling short, I still like Domantas Sabonis and his outlook of reaching a double-double. Throughout the season, the Indiana big man has consistently reached 20 points and ten rebounds. Look for this to happen again tonight.