Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Picks & Predictions

by | Last updated Apr 7, 2022 | nba

Memphis Grizzlies (55-24 SU, 51-27-1 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (47-33 SU, 36-44-0 ATS)

When: Thursday April 07 2022, 09:00 PM (ET)

Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado


Point Spread: MEM +3.5/DEN -3.5 (Opened DEN -3 at BetNow – Use bonus code predictem and they’ll give you a 100% bonus up to $500!)

Total: 232.5 (Opened at 232.5)

Money Line: Memphis 124/Denver -150

Power Rating: DEN -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies PG Tyus Jones, SG Dillon Brooks Q, SF Desmond Bane, PF Jaren Jackson Jr., C Steven Adams

Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green Q, C Nikola Jokic

Key Injuries

Memphis Grizzlies
Dillon Brooks: Hip (QUESTIONABLE)
Ja Morant: Knee (OUT)
Killian Tillie: Knee (OUT)

Denver Nuggets
Jeff Green: Personal (QUESTIONABLE)
Michael Porter Jr.: Back (OUT)
Vlatko Cancar: Foot (OUT)
Zeke Nnaji: Knee (OUT)

The Denver Nuggets host the Memphis Grizzlies in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the Ball Arena.

Recent Form

The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with an overall record of 55-24, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Memphis is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 26-14. Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Memphis is averaging 120.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 115.4. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. The Grizzlies have been picking up wins, while holding opponents to an average of 109.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 109.4. In the Memphis Grizzlies’ most recent game, the team fell to Utah by a score of 121-115.

The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 47-33, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 at home, holding a record of 22-17. The Nuggets have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 119.0 points per game, 7.0 points more than their season average of 112.3. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 114.0 points per contest. Even though the Nuggets have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 119.0 points per game, up from Denver’s usual rate of 110.0. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, the team fell to San Antonio by a score of 116-97.


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Individual Player Analysis

As Memphis travels to take on the Denver Nuggets, the Grizzlies are still without Ja Morant, but have been relying on Jaren Jackson Jr. In his last game, Jackson Jr put up 28 points in a loss to Utah. So far, the Nuggets are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 48.33% of their games, placing them 13rd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring, averaging 27 points across his 73 games. Throughout the season, Jokic has outscored his season average in 40.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Jokic will need to do so against a Grizzlies defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 41.54%. This figure is good for a rank of 4th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Nuggets come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 111.1 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Denver is winning at a rate of 64%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 13.0 points. On the other side, the Grizzlies hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 35 games as the better defensive team, picking up 24 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies and Denver Nuggets have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Memphis picked up a 122-118 win.

How the Public is Betting the Grizzlies vs Nuggets

67% are betting the against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 232.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
  • Grizzlies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Even though the Grizzlies are coming off a loss to Utah, they have still won 8 of their last 10 games, most of which have been without Ja Morant. On the other side, the Nuggets have gone just 5-5 over their last 10 games. Unless Denver completely falls apart and Minnesota wins both of their final 2 games, the Nuggets will avoid the play-in tournament and hold the 6th seed in the West. With Denver entering as 3 point home favorites, look for the Nuggets to pick up the win and cover the spread. Note: Our free MLB picks articles start today!