Indiana Pacers vs. Los Angeles Clippers Best Bet | March 25

by | Last updated Mar 25, 2024 | nba

Indiana Pacers (40-32 SU, 38-32 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (44-26 SU, 34-36 ATS)

When: Monday, March 25th, 10:30 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: BSSC

Point Spread: Ind +6.5/LAC -6.5

Total: 233.5

Money Line: Indiana Pacers +207/-257

Notable Injuries

Pacers

  • Bennedict Mathurin (Out) Shoulder

Clippers

  • P.J. Tucker (Out) Calf
  • Russell Westbrook (Out) Hand

At 10:30 ET, the Pacers (+207) will travel to Los Angeles to take on the Clippers (-257) in a non-conference matchup. The Clippers (-6.5) are currently favored by 6.5 points in this game.

This game will be played at Crypto.com Arena and can be seen on BSSC. The Clippers are currently 4th in the Western Conference with a record of 44-26, while the Pacers are 6th in the East at 40-32.

Recent Form

In their games this season, the Pacers have had an average over/under line of 242.1, which is higher than today’s line of 233.5. Overall, their games have averaged 244.1 points per game.

Indiana’s over/under record for the season is 36-36, and 62 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 233.5.

As the underdog this season, the Pacers are 20-17 and 22-13 ATS. On the road, their ATS record is 20-15, and they are 19-17 straight up.

Indiana’s last game was a 150-145 loss to the Lakers, and the O/U line for that game was 239.5. The Pacers were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game.

Overall, the Pacers are 40-32 this season, which is good for 6th place in the Eastern Conference. Against the East, they are 28-17 and 11-4 against their division.

For the season, the Pacers are 38-32 ATS, and they are 38-32 on the O/U. On the road, they have an average scoring differential of -0.7 points per game.

In Clippers games this season, the average over/under line is 228.8, which is lower than today’s line of 233.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 32-37-1, and the over has hit in their last three games.

Looking at their ATS record, the Clippers are 34-36 this season, including a 16-18 mark at home. They have failed to cover the spread in their last four home games and are 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.

Los Angeles is 41-15 as the favorite this season and has gone 30-26 vs. the spread as the favorite. As the favorite, they have a scoring differential of +6.9 PPG.

After losing to the 76ers (121-107), the Clippers are now 44-26 on the season. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 4th place and lead the Pacific Division. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 27-18 and 17-8 in non-conference games.

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The Historicals

The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Clippers. In these matchups, Los Angeles has averaged 130 points per game, while allowing 122. In these contests, they averaged a combined 252 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Analysis

This season, the Pacers have been the NBA’s top-scoring team at 123.1 points per game. They have been especially potent on the road, averaging 121.1 points per game away from home.

Indiana has been an efficient team overall, ranking first in field goal percentage at 50%. They also lead the NBA in two-point field goal percentage at 58%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pacers are 10th in three-point percentage at 37%. They are 11th in made threes but 13th in three-point attempts.

At this time, the Pacers’ defense is positioned 29th in the NBA, permitting 121.0 points per game. In their previous matchup vs. the Lakers, the Pacers’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 55% leading to 150 points.

The Clippers are one of the league’s top offensive teams, ranking 12th in scoring at 116.5 points per game. However, they have been slightly better on the road, averaging 117.1 PPG compared to 115.8 at home.

When it comes to pace, the Clippers are 27th in the league at 96.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 6th in the NBA at 49%.

So far this season, the Clippers have made an average of 13 three-pointers per game, which is 14th in the league. Overall, they are 3rd in three-point shooting at 38%.

The Clippers’ defense is presently ranked 12th in the league, allowing an average of 112.7 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Clippers are forcing 12.3 per game, which is 10th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 12th in blocked shots at 5.2 per game.

Betting Trends

  • In their last three road games, Indiana has averaged 130 points per game while allowing 121. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last five home games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 4-1 while averaging 118 points per game.
  • The last ten games that Indiana was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Clippers have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Both teams are coming into this one, having played yesterday and each taking losses. The Pacers are coming off a game in what was essentially a track meet vs. the Lakers, while the Clippers failed to take advantage of being at home vs. the Sixers. With the spread sitting at -6.5, I’m taking the Clippers to get back on track and cover the spread.