Jazz vs Mavericks Odds, Trends, Predictions 11/2/22

by | Nov 2, 2022 | nba

Utah Jazz (6-2 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (3-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS)
When: Wednesday, November 2nd, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: American Airlines Center, TX, Dallas
TV: BSS

Point Spread: UTA +6/ DAL -6
Total: 221.0
Money Line: Utah Jazz +182/ -225

Notable Injuries

Jazz

  • Leandro Bolmaro (Out) Health Protocols
  • Simone Fontecchio (Out) Health Protocols

Mavericks

  • Christian Wood (Questionable) Illness
  • Davis Bertans (Out) Knee
  • Frank Ntilikina (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

So far, the Jazz have put together an overall record of 6-2, while going 5-2-1 vs the spread.
Against the Mavericks, the Jazz are going for their 3rd straight win, posting an average scoring
margin of 8.5 points per game in this stretch.

Utah is going for yet another win, as they previously defeated the Grizzlies. With the 121-105
victory, they also covered the spread as 3-point underdogs. Utah played well enough in the second
half to prevent the Grizzlies from making things interesting down the stretch, as they led by 17
going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Lauri Markkanen, as he contributed 31 points
while hitting 73.3% of his shots.

The Mavericks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 3-3. So far, the team has
gone 3-2-1 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Dallas has an overall record of 2-1,
including going 1-1-1 against the spread.

Going into their last game, the Mavericks were 9-point favorites to beat the Magic. However,
the 114-105 win resulted in an ATS push for each side. In the game, the two teams entered
halftime all tied up at 60. In the win, Luka Doncic led the team in scoring with 44 points on a
field goal percentage of 65.4%.

The Historicals

Last year, the Jazz and Mavericks had a competitive season series, with each side posting a
mark of 2-2. But, when playing at home, Dallas had an above .500 record of 2-0. Similar to their
season-long average, the Jazz averaged 109.25 points per game vs the Mavericks. Just like the
Jazz, the Mavericks maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging
112.5 points per game vs Utah. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Mavericks
have an average scoring margin of +8 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 5-0. In these
contests, they averaged a combined 206 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

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Analysis

Heading into play, the Jazz offense is rated 10th in the league in scoring, averaging 10th
points per contest. So far, Utah is averaging 103.2 possessions per game, making them one of the
more up-tempo teams in the league. If the Jazz offense is going to continue to produce at their
current level, they would benefit from an improvement in their outside shooting. Currently, they
are the 13th-ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Jazz are giving up an average of 107.57 points per
game, good for 10th in the NBA.

Leading scorer Lauri Markkanen will need to be on top of his game vs the Mavericks, as they
were on the NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing power-forwards.

Dallas will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 117.8
points per game (5th). When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Mavericks are currently below
the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.4 per contest. Even though the team
has preferred to play at a slower pace, their effective field goal percentage of 55.7% has helped
them with their overall scoring numbers.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Mavericks are giving up an average of 104.72 points per
game, good for 2nd in the NBA.

Leading scorer Luka Doncic will need to be on top of his game vs the Jazz, as they were on the
NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing point-guards.

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Betting Trends

  • Jazz are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Jazz are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Mavericks are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Take the Jazz +6