Kings vs. Spurs Odds, Trends, Prediction ATS

by | Last updated Feb 1, 2023 | nba

Sacramento Kings (28-21 SU, 26-22-1 ATS) vs. San Antonio Spurs (14-37 SU, 23-28-0 ATS)
When: Wednesday, February 1st, 8:00 PM (ET)
Where: AT&T Center, TX, San Antonio
TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Sac -7.5/SA +7.5
Total: 244.5
Money Line: Sacramento Kings -297/+240

Notable Injuries

Kings

    Spurs

    • Josh Richardson (Probable) Knee
    • Romeo Langford (Questionable) Adductor
    • Devin Vassell (Out) Knee

    Recent Form

    Heading into the game, Sacramento is 28-21 overall. When taking to the road, Sacramento has a mark of 12-10 and a win percentage of 55%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 26-22-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 2-3 in their past five games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS.

    In their preceding game, the Kings overpowered the Timberwolves, earning a 118-111 win as 1-point favorites. De’Aaron Fox led the way for the Kings, putting up 32 points on 48.1% shooting. The Kings not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

    Heading into the game, San Antonio is 14-37 overall. When playing at home, San Antonio has a mark of 9-19 and a win percentage of 32%. Currently, the team is 14th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 23-28-0 vs. the spread. The Spurs need a win in today’s matchup vs. Sacramento to avoid their 7th straight loss.

    In their last outing, San Antonio was unable to come home with a win against the Wizards, losing by a score of 127-106. Keldon Johnson led the team with 26 points, but it was not enough to overcome their status as 5-point underdogs. The Spurs also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

    The Historicals

    In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Kings picked up the 130-112 win over the Spurs. The Kings’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 7.0 point favorite. So far this season, the Kings have a record of 2-0 vs. the Spurs. Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Kings have an average scoring margin of +5 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. In these contests, they averaged a combined 241 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

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    Analysis

    This season, Sacramento is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 119.5 points per game. So far, the Kings are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.0 possessions per game. Sacramento’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 9th in 3-point shooting percentage at 36.9%. The defense has been a weak area for Sacramento, as they currently allow 115.8 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

    Going into today’s game, De’Aaron Fox is the leading scorer for the Sacramento team, with an average of 24.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 50.4%. The team’s second top scorer is Domantas Sabonis, who is averaging 18.5 points per game.

    For the season, San Antonio is averaging just 112.6 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster-paced teams in the NBA (8th). San Antonio has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 24th in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.3%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.1 attempts per contest. The defense has not been a strong point for San Antonio, as they currently allow 113.04 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.84% of their looks from deep, placing the Spurs 20th in the NBA.

    As the Spurs prepare for today’s game, Keldon Johnson is their leading scorer with an average of 21.9 points per game. This season, Johnson has a field goal percentage of 43.8%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Tre Jones, who is averaging 13.1 points per game.

    Betting Trends

    • Kings are 8-0 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
    • Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last ten road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games following a double-digit loss at home.
    • Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games playing on one day rest.

    Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

    The Kings aren’t playing well enough to be laying this many points on the road. There’s tons of value with the Spurs, and that’s who we’re betting!