NBA Picks: Jazz vs. Spurs 3/11/22

by | Mar 11, 2022 | nba

Utah Jazz (41-24 SU, 28-36-1 ATS) vs. San Antonio Spurs (25-41 SU, 33-32-1 ATS)

When: Friday March 11 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)

Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas

TV: ATTSN-RM

Point Spread: UTA -6/SAS +6 (Opened MEM -7.5 at GTBets - Offers a 100% bonus up to $500!)

Total: 229.5 (Opened at 230)

Money Line: Memphis -240/San Antonio 196

Power Rating:

Probable Starting Lineups

Utah Jazz PG Mike Conley, SG Donovan Mitchell, SF Danuel House, PF Royce O’Neale, C Rudy Gobert

San Antonio Spurs PG Dejounte Murray, SG Devin Vassell, SF Keldon Johnson, PF Doug McDermott, C Jakob Poeltl

Key Injuries

Utah Jazz
Bojan Bogdanovic: Leg (OUT)

San Antonio Spurs
Devontae Cacok: Heel (PROBABLE)
Romeo Langford: Hamstring (OUT)
Keita Bates-Diop: Back (DOUBTFUL)
Joshua Primo: Illness (DOUBTFUL)

The San Antonio Spurs host the Utah Jazz in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:30 PM ET at the AT&T Center.

Recent Form

The Utah Jazz come into this game with an overall record of 41-24, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Utah is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 18-14. Over their last five games, the Jazz have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Utah’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 113.0 points per game. Combined, the Jazz’s last five opponents are giving up 111.0 points per contest. The Jazz have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 107.3. In the Utah Jazz’ most recent game, Utah took down Portland by a score of 123-85.

The San Antonio Spurs come into this game with an overall record of 25-41, placing them 12nd in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, San Antonio has struggled in their 32 home contests, sitting at 12-20. Over the Spurs’ last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, San Antonio’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 111.0 points per game. Combined, the Spurs’ last five opponents are giving up 112.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Spurs’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 117.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 113.0. In the San Antonio Spurs’ most recent game, the team fell to Toronto by a score of 119-104.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Utah travels to take on the San Antonio Spurs, the Jazz’ leading scorer is Ja Morant. Through 53 games, Morant is averaging 27 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 49.0% of his games. So far, the Spurs are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 48.15% of their games, placing them 17th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Dejounte Murray leads the Spurs in scoring, averaging 20 points across his 57 games. Throughout the season, Murray has outscored his season average in 53.0% of his outings. On the season, the Jazz have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.17% of their games, giving them a rank of 13th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Utah Jazz are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 22 of Utah’s 34 games, leading to a winning percentage of 64%. So far, the San Antonio Spurs have played 44 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 44 times, by an average margin of -11.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Utah Jazz and San Antonio Spurs have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Utah picked up a 110-104 win.

How the Public is Betting the Jazz vs Spurs

67% are betting the Jazz against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 229.5

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Jazz are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Jazz are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Spurs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this game, the Utah Jazz are 2.5 point road favorites. Given that the Jazz have won 7 of their last 10 games, they have moved into the 4th seed in the Western Conference. On the other side, San Antonio is looking to work their way into the play-in tournament, as they are just 2 games out. Even though the Jazz have a below .500 record vs the spread, I like their chances to cover vs the Spurs. One of the biggest matchup discrepancies to keep an eye on is Utah’s ability to get to the free-throw line, an area that the Spurs are the worst-rated team in the NBA. Note: It’s tough to beat NBA betting. You need all the help you can get. Sportsbook bonuses, reload bonuses, special offers and reduced juice. Most don’t know that reduced juice is the most valuable thing you can get in sports betting. It allows you to bet on games at -105 odds instead of -110. This adds up to HUGE savings! Start saving BIG bucks TODAY by making the switch to BetAnySports Sportsbook! Make sure to choose the reduced juice option instead of the signup bonus as you only get to select one. You’ll be so glad you did!