Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks Pick ATS & Prop Bets

by | Dec 3, 2021 | nba

Philadelphia 76ers (11-11 SU, 11-11 ATS) vs. Atlanta Hawks (12-10 SU, 10-12 ATS)
When: Friday December 03 2021, 07:30 PM (ET)
Where: Philips Arena: Atlanta, Georgia
TV: ESPN

Point Spread: PHI 1.5/ATL -1.5 (Opened at ATL -1.5)
Total: 213.0 (Opened at 213)
Money Line: Philadelphia 105/Atlanta -125)
Power Rating: ATL -2
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Probable Starting Lineups

76ers: PG Tyrese Maxey, SG Seth Curry, SF Danny Green, PF Tobais Harris, C Joel Embiid
Hawks: PG Trae Young, SG Lou Williams, SF Kevin Heurter, PF John Collins, C Clint Capela

Key Injuries

76ers Grant Riller: knee (OUT) Ben Simmons: holdout (OUT)

Hawks Bogdan Bogdanovic: foot (QUESTIONABLE) De’Andre Hunter: wrist (QUESTIONABLE) Onyeka Okongwu: shoulder (QUESTIONABLE) Cam Reddish: wrist (QUESTIONABLE)

Recent Form

The Philadelphia 76ers enter today’s game, having won 3 of their past ten games. The 76ers have won exactly half of their games when playing away from home, going 6-6. Philly travels to Atlanta with a negative plus-minus of rating -0.6 points as the road team. Overall, the 76ers are ranked 14th among NBA teams in point differential (5.9). Among NBA teams, they have played the 13th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Philadelphia 76ers to cover the spread has been a 50/50 bet as they have covered the spread in half of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 1.2.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Tyrese Maxey. So far, Maxey is averaging 17.5 points per game, and this output places him 13th among point guards. The 76ers’ best three-point shooter has been Seth Curry, connecting on 2.25 shots from downtown per game. Andre Drummond has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 10.71 boards per game.

The Atlanta Hawks enter today’s game, having won eight of their past ten games. When playing at Philips Arena, the Hawks are an above .500 team, having gone 8-2. As they get set to host the 76ers, Atlanta has a positive home plus-minus of 9.5 points. Overall the Hawks are ranked 8th among NBA teams in point differential (1.6). So far this season, Atlanta has played the toughest schedule in the NBA.

For bettors, taking the Atlanta Hawks to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they have covered in 45.50% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 0.1.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Trae Young. So far, Young is averaging 26.27 points per game. Young has also been the team’s top three-point shooter, hitting just under three three-pointers per contest. Clint Capela has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 12.55 boards per game.

An Eye On Pace

This season, the Atlanta Hawks are once again in the league’s bottom half in possessions per game, ranking 20th among NBA teams. This slower tempo is most represented in their three-point shooting numbers as they are 27th in the league, averaging 32 attempts pers contest. Look for this game to have a limited number of possessions as the 76ers are ranked 30th in pace, averaging 96 possessions per contest. Like the Hawks, they also put up 32 three-point attempts per contest.

Key Matchups

After making his return to the lineup with a 42 point performance against Minnesota, Joel Embiid has put up two mediocre scoring games with just 16 and 13 points. However, he has still managed to help his team on the boards and by distributing the ball. In his game vs. the Hawks, look for Embiid to have a bounce-back game as Atlanta struggles with their interior defense. On the other side, the Philadelphia defense is ranked 23rd in the league, allowing opponents to hit 36% of their three-point attempts. Look for Trae Young to have a big game with Philly not boasting a dominant defender at the guard position.

The Historicals

This matchup between the 76ers and Hawks will be their second meeting of the year. In game one, the 76ers won by a score of 122-94. Last year, Philly took the regular-season series, with the Hawks getting their revenge in the second round of the playoff. .

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How the Public is Betting the 76ers vs. Hawks

56% are betting the Hawks against the spread.
61% are wagering on the game to go under the posted total of 214.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • 76ers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
  • 76ers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games.
  • Hawks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite.
  • Hawks are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 home games.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

In this matchup, I expect the Hawks to come away with the home win. With the line set at just 1.5 points in favor of Atlanta, the Vegas sportsbooks expect this game to be close. However, I see the Hawks having too much offensive firepower for a 76ers unit still looking to find its groove. In their last game vs. Boston, the team put up just 87 points, and while Atlanta is by no means an excellent defensive unit, they boast a better lineup of offensive players to pull this one out.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

Even though I have the 76ers losing this game, look for Joel Embiid to go over his player prop line. I expect Embiid to draw Clint Capela away from the basket, using his skill set to hit shots outside or put the ball on the floor. Look for Capela to end up in foul trouble, opening things up even more for Embiid.