Pistons vs. Raptors Analysis & Free Pick

by | Feb 12, 2023 | nba

Detroit Pistons (15-42 SU, 25-31-1 ATS) vs. Toronto Raptors (26-31 SU, 28-29-0 ATS)
When: Sunday, February 12th, 3:00 PM (ET)
Where: Scotiabank Arena, ON, Toronto
TV: TSN

Point Spread: Det +10/Tor -10
Total: 229.5
Money Line: Detroit Pistons +373/-494

Notable Injuries

Pistons

  • Nerlens Noel (Out) Not With Team
  • Marvin Bagley III (Out) Hand
  • James Wiseman (Questionable) Trade Pending
  • Cade Cunningham (Out) Shin

Raptors

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Out) Foot
  • OG Anunoby (Out) Wrist

Recent Form

The Detroit team enters the game with a poor record of 15-42 overall and a road record of 7-21, translating to a win percentage of 25%. Presently, they rank 14th in the Eastern Conference. Their performance against the spread has been lackluster, with a record of 25-31-1 thus far. Looking at their recent performances, they have won two out of their past five games straight up and against the spread, standing at a record of 2-3 ATS. In the last ten games, their straight-up record stands at 3-7, while their record against the spread is 4-6.

In their previous game, the Detroit Pistons secured a victory against the Spurs, winning by a predicted margin of 6 points. Bojan Bogdanovic was the standout performer for the Pistons, scoring 32 points at a shooting percentage of 45.8%. The Pistons not only won the game but also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Toronto is 26-31 overall. When playing at home, Toronto has a mark of 16-13 and a win percentage of 55%. Currently, the team is 11th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 28-29-0 vs. the spread. In Toronto’s last five games, the Raptors have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 6-4 and 5-5 ATS.

In their most recent matchup, the Jazz defeated Toronto with a score of 122-116. Pascal Siakam scored the most points for the team with 35, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Raptors were 8 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Raptors picked up a 115-111 win over the Pistons. However, heading into the game, Toronto was favored to win by 5.0 points, giving the Pistons and ATS victory. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the Pistons have averaged 113 points per game compared to 106 for Toronto. This has led to an ATS record of 5-0 for Detroit. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 219 points per game.

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Analysis

For the season, Detroit is averaging just 112.2 points per game, which is 24th in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster-paced teams in the NBA (12th). When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Pistons’ offense is ranked 15th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 35.3%. The defense has been a struggle for Detroit, as they are currently allowing 112.55 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.41% of their looks from the outside.

Going into today’s game, Bojan Bogdanovic is the leading scorer for the Detroit team, with an average of 21.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 48.5%. The team’s second top scorer is Jaden Ivey, who is averaging 15.2 points per game.

This season, the Raptors’ offense averages 113.1 points per game, which is 20th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Toronto has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.5 possessions per game. Toronto’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 33.6% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.5 3-point shots per game, placing them 20th in the NBA. Defensively, the Raptors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.1 points per game. So far, they have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 35.34%, placing them 17th in the NBA.

Going into today’s game, Pascal Siakam is the leading scorer for the Toronto team with an average of 25.2 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 47.7%. The team’s second top scorer is Fred VanVleet, who is averaging 19.6 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • The Pistons are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Detroit may have won their last game, but they’ll definitely be back on the tanking train today in Canada. They are still in play for the first pick and will find a way to lose. The question is can they keep it within ten points? With only two games on today’s card, we were forced to write this game up and give an opinion. I think it’s more than likely they will stay within ten points than Toronto beating them by ten. I’m recommending a play on the Pistons at +10.