Raptors vs. Warriors Recommended Bet for 1/27/23

by | Last updated Jan 27, 2023 | nba

Toronto Raptors (22-27 SU, 25-24-0 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (24-24 SU, 22-25-1 ATS)

When: Friday, January 27th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Tor +5.5/GS -5.5 (Get a 100% real cash bonus up to $300 on your first deposit when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!)

Total: 229.5

Money Line: Toronto Raptors +184/-226

Notable Injuries

Raptors

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Out) Foot
  • Dalano Banton (Questionable) Right Hip

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (Out) Hip
  • Andrew Wiggins (Questionable) Illness

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Toronto is 22-27 overall. When taking to the road, Toronto has a mark of 7-15 and a win percentage of 32%. Currently, the team is 12th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 25-24-0 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Golden State, the Toronto Raptors have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

In their upcoming game, Toronto will be looking to capitalize on their recent win over the Kings. Pascal Siakam led the way for the Raptors with 26 points. Despite being 3-point underdogs on the spread, the Raptors were able to secure an ATS win.

On the campaign, Golden State is 24-24 overall. When playing at home, Golden State has a mark of 18-6 and a win percentage of 75%. Currently, the team is 9th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 22-25-1 vs. the spread. In Golden State’s last five games, the Warriors have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 4-6 and 4-6 ATS.

The Warriors from Golden State triumphed in their last match against the Grizzlies, achieving a 122-120 victory. Stephen Curry had the most points for the Warriors with 34. Despite the win, the Warriors did not cover the spread as 2-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Warriors picked up the win 126-110 win over the Raptors. Heading into the game, Golden State was the 6-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Although the Warriors have the better ATS mark across the previous five head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Toronto, as they averaged 113 points per game while allowing 105. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 218 points in these games.

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Analysis

This season, Toronto is averaging just 112.6 points per game, which places them 24th in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA, at just 97.3 possessions per game. Toronto’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 33.4% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.6 3-point shots per game, placing them 20th in the NBA. Defensively, the Raptors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.1 points per game. So far, they have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 35.34%, placing them 17th in the NBA.

Pascal Siakam is the top scorer for Toronto, averaging 25.2 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 47.7%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Gary Trent Jr., averaging 18.6 points per game.

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.7 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 102.5 possessions per game. Golden State’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 6th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.8%. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.5 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Coming into today’s game, Jordan Poole is the leading scorer for Golden State at 21.2 points per game. This season, Poole has a field goal percentage of 43.8%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Stephen Curry, at 29.3 points per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games playing on one day’s rest.
  • The Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games overall.
  • The Warriors are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 Friday games.
  • The Warriors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games playing on one day rest.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Raptors are only 2-3 in their last five games but have been playing tough opponents close. Meanwhile, the Warriors aren’t playing up to their potential and haven’t strung together two wins since January 3rd. I like Toronto getting +5.5 points here and think they have a legit shot of winning this game straight-up. Get a 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a FREE HALF POINT everytime you bet your favorite team when you sign up through our link and use bonus code PREDICTEM! It’s a KILLER deal from a GREAT sportsbook!