San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns Pick 1/30/22
San Antonio Spurs (19-31 SU, 26-24-0 ATS) vs. Phoenix Suns (39-9 SU, 27-21-0 ATS)
When: Sunday, January 30th, 2022, 8:00 pm (ET)
Where: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
TV: Bally Sports
Point Spread: SAS +12.5/PHX -12.5 (Opened at 12.5 at BetNow - Home of the 100% bonus up to ONE THOUSAND DOLLARS! It’s REAL CASH too; not a crappy match play!)
Total: 228.5 (Opened at 228.5)
Money Line: SAS +550/PHX -850
Power Rating: PHX -10
Probable Starting Lineups
San Antonio Spurs: PG Tre Jones, SG Lonnie Walker SF Doug McDermott, PF Keldon Johnson, C Jock Landale
Phoenix Suns: PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton
San Antonio Spurs: G Derrick White *Out* (Rest), C Jakob Poeltl *Out* (Back), G Dejounte Murray *Out* (Knee), F Keita Bates-Diop *Out* (Illness)
Phoenix Suns: G Cameron Payne *Questionable* (Wrist), F Jae Crowder *Questionable* (Wrist), C JaVale McGee *Questionable* (Knee), C Deandre Ayton *Questionable* (Ankle), F Abdel Nader *Out* (Conditioning), F Frank Kaminsky *Out* (Knee), F Dario Saric *Out* (Knee)
The San Antonio Spurs come into this game with a 19-31 record and sit 11th in the Western Conference. Despite a sub-par season, the Spurs have played spoiler to some great teams. Last time on the floor, the Spurs beat the Bulls at home. They were 2-point favorites in that game, but nonetheless, a nine-point victory by dropping 131 points is always a good confidence booster. The Spurs are still a few pieces away from becoming contenders in the West again but have a young squad that had pride themselves in their offensive bursts this season. While their offense has been the talking point of their wins, their defense has been their downfall this season. Aside from giving up 111+ points on average this year, the Spurs are in the bottom half of the league at defending the three-point shot and will be exposed in this game against the Suns, who are a top 5 team at shooting from range. Though Phoenix doesn’t rely heavily on the three-ball, what makes them so hard to defend is that they knock down shots from anywhere on the floor with efficiency as the number one shooting percentage team. As 12.5-point underdogs in this game, if the Spurs allow the Suns to knock down their shots from range, the game will become lopsided very quickly. The Spurs offense is led by Dejounte Murray, who is averaging 19.4 PPG this season. As a team, San Antonio’s offense is 9th in the league as they average 111.3 PPG. On defense, they are 24th in the NBA as they allow 111.3 PPG.
The Phoenix Suns come into this matchup with a 39-9 record and sit 1st in the Western Conference. The Suns have had a near-perfect month of January with a 12-1 record and currently ride a seven-game win streak. While their offense has been in the Top 5 all season, their defense is what has helped them dominate some of the best teams in the league. The Suns are amazing in two offensive categories this season that will be key in this game against a struggling Spurs defense. Phoenix shoots the ball better than any other team with a 47.7% field goal percentage overall and shoots even better at home, going 48.1% from the floor. The other stat that Phoenix leads the league is their fourth-quarter scoring.
The Suns average 28.6 points in the final twelve minutes, which gives them their lopsided wins as they pile on the points to what is usually already a comfortable lead. With the Suns getting some guys back from injury and the Spurs being without their top scorer, this is just another reason for the Suns to roll in this one at home. Phoenix is led in scoring by Devin Booker, who is averaging 25.1 PPG. The Suns’ offense is 3rd in the NBA as they average 112.8 PPG this season. On defense, they sit in the 7th spot as they allow 104.9 PPG.
Spurs on the Road
The Spurs are having an underwhelming season overall, but the road has been a tough test, especially as of late. San Antonio has just two road wins over the last six weeks and hasn’t fared well against the spread when the odds are against them. The Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as underdogs and come into this one as 12.5-point underdogs once again. While 12.5-points seems reasonable to cover, facing the league’s most well-rounded team without your leading scorer is a recipe for disaster. If there is a silver lining for this team in this game, it’s that they play very well on the road against the league’s top teams. The Spurs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. Had San Antonio came into this one with Murray, I could see them adding onto this impressive stat, but missing just one piece against the Suns is enough to crush those aspirations.
Suns at Home
The Suns at home are one of the most dominant teams with a 20-5 record at Footprint Center, which is second-best in the NBA behind the Warriors. With their lone loss this month to the Heat at home, the Suns are looking like they’ll be moving into February with that loss as their only blemish of January. While the Suns have a losing record against the spread at home this season, there is reason to believe the Spurs won’t make them another victim of their spoilers. In their last six games against teams with losing records, Phoenix is 5-1 ATS. The only way I see the Spurs having a chance to keep this game close is if they allow them to get this game to a fourth-quarter shootout. With the hopes of a return of Crowder and Ayton to the lineup, their defense won’t allow the Spurs offense to get rolling at any part of this game. Also worth mentioning is that the Suns are the slower-paced team in this game, so with them controlling the pace and giving the Spurs fewer offensive opportunities, this gives bettors even more reasons to roll with them.
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This matchup will be the fourth time these teams face this season. The most recent game took place earlier this month, which ended in a 121-107 final in favor of the Suns. Dating back to last season, Phoenix comes in winners of five straight over the Spurs.
How the Public is Betting the Spurs vs. Suns
57% are betting the Spurs against the spread.
55% are wagering on the game to go under the posted total of 228.5.
Betting Trends Worth Noting
- The San Antonio Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- The San Antonio Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning home record.
- The Phoenix Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites.
- The Phoenix Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in the Spurs’ last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 8-3 in the Suns’ last 11 games as a home favorite.
- The San Antonio Spurs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Phoenix.
Collin’s Pick for Spurs/Suns
This Western Conference matchup features two teams at opposite ends of the standings. The Spurs have had some impressive offensive outings that have allowed them to play spoiler this year but come in without their best scorer as they face a top defense. The Suns are firing on all cylinders and are getting some pieces back for this game that will allow them to keep the score low on San Antonio’s end. Though a 12.5-point spread is a tall task, the Spurs don’t have enough talent to go toe to toe with the Suns to keep up for four quarters. Take the Phoenix Suns to cover the 12.5-point spread. Bet youre NBA picks for FREE this week by taking advantage of one of MANY 100% sportsbook bonuses!
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