Suns vs. Kings Picks & Predictions 3/20/22

by | Mar 20, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (57-14 SU, 39-32-0 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (25-47 SU, 33-38-1 ATS)
When: Sunday March 20 2022, 06:00 PM (ET)
Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento California
TV: BSAZ

Point Spread: PHX -10.5/SAC +10.5 (Opened PHX -10 BetNow)
Total: 231.5 (Opened at 231.5)
Money Line: Phoenix Suns -548/Sacramento Kings 407
Power Rating: PHX -10

Probable Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns PG Cam Payne, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder Q, C Deandre Ayton
Sacramento Kings PG De’Aaron Fox Q, SG Justin Holiday, SF Harrison Barnes, PF Trey Lyles, C Domantas Sabonis

Key Injuries

Phoenix Suns Jae Crowder: Groin (QUESTIONABLE) Gabriel Lundberg: Personal (OUT) Cameron Johnson: Quadricep (OUT) Dario Saric: Knee (OUT) Chris Paul: Thumb (OUT) Frank Kaminsky: Knee (OUT)

Sacramento Kings Jeremy Lamb: Personal (QUESTIONABLE) De’Aaron Fox: Hand (QUESTIONABLE) Richaun Holmes: Personal (OUT) Terence Davis II: Wrist (OUT)

The Sacramento Kings host the Phoenix Suns in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 06:00 PM ET at the Golden 1 Center.

Recent Form

The Phoenix Suns come into this game with an overall record of 57-14, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far, Phoenix is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 27-6. Over their last five games, the Suns have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Phoenix is averaging 128.0 points per game, 13.0 points more than their season average of 114.7. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. Even though Phoenix has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 111.0 points per game, up from the Suns’ usual rate of 106.2. In the Phoenix Suns’ most recent game, Phoenix took down Chicago by a score of 129-102

The Sacramento Kings come into this game with an overall record of 25-47, placing them 13rd in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, Sacramento has struggled in their 38 home contests, sitting at 16-22. Over the Kings’ last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, Sacramento’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 112.0 points per game. Combined, the Kings’ last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Kings’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 121.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 115.7. In the Sacramento Kings’ most recent game, the team fell to Boston by a score of 126-97.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Phoenix travels to take on the Sacramento Kings, the Suns’ leading scorer is Devin Booker. Through 68 games, Booker is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 51.0% of his games. So far, the Kings are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, placing them 16th among NBA defenses. On the other side, De’Aaron Fox leads the Kings in scoring, averaging 23 points across his 63 games. Throughout the season, Fox has outscored his season average in 49.0% of his outings. On the season, the Suns have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 48.33% of their games, giving them a rank of 12nd among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 29 of Phoenix’s 33 games, leading to a winning percentage of 90%. So far, the Sacramento Kings have played 58 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 58 times, by an average margin of -14.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Phoenix Suns and Sacramento Kings have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Phoenix picked up a 109-104 win.

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How the Public is Betting the Suns vs Kings

67% are betting the Suns against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 231.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Coming into this matchup, the Sacramento Kings have won just three games over their last contests. This includes going on a 2 game losing streak. On the other side, Phoenix already has the top seed in the West locked up. However, they have not taken their foot off the gas, rattling off four straight wins. They were also able to cover the spread in each of these victories. Look for this trend to continue, even with a large spread at 10.5 points.

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