Suns vs. Mavericks Odds, Stats, Free Pick ATS 12/5/22

by | Dec 5, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (16-7 SU, 13-8-2 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (11-11 SU, 6-15-1 ATS)
When: Monday, December 5th, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: American Airlines Center, TX, Dallas
TV: NBA

Point Spread: PHO +3/ DAL -3
Total: 221.5
Money Line: Phoenix Suns +134/ -165

Notable Injuries

Suns

  • Jae Crowder (Out) Not Injury Related
  • Chris Paul (Out) Heel
  • Torrey Craig (Out) Groin
  • Mikal Bridges (Probable) Knee
  • Cameron Johnson (Out) Knee

Mavericks

  • Christian Wood (Questionable) Illness

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Phoenix is 16-7 overall. When taking to the road, Phoenix has a mark of 4-5 and a win percentage of 44.0%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 13-8-2 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 4-1 in their past five games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 8-2 SU and 5-3-2 ATS.

In their last game, Phoenix defeated Spurs (133-95) as 10-point favorites. Deandre Ayton led the team with 25 on 71.4% shooting. The Suns also covered the spread with the victory.

Heading into the game, Dallas is 11-11 overall. When playing at home, Dallas has a mark of 9-3 and a win percentage of 75%. Currently, the team is 10th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 6-15-1 vs. the spread. In Dallas’ last five games, the Mavericks have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 4-6 and 3-7 ATS.

In their last game, Dallas defeated Knicks (121-100) as 1-point favorites. Luka Doncic led the team with 30 on 52.4% shooting. The Mavericks also covered the spread with the victory.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Suns picked up a 107-105 win over the Mavericks. However, heading into the game, Phoenix was favored to win by 4.0 points, giving the Mavericks an ATS victory. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season.

Analysis

This year, Phoenix is the 25th-ranked scoring unit in the NBA at 116.7 points per game. Their strong production has come despite being one of the slower-paced teams in the NBA at just 97.7 possessions per game. Phoenix’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.6% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.3 3-point shots per game, placing them 15th in the NBA. Defensively, the Suns have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.88%.

Devin Booker heads into the game averaging 29 points per game, which is the best on the team. Mikal Bridges is the Suns’ second-leading offensive weapon at 16.1 points per contest.

This season, Dallas is averaging just 110.6 points per game, which places them 21st in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 96.5 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Dallas’ offensive game plan, as they are ranked 3rd in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.1% of their looks from the outside. Defensively, the Mavericks have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.72 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.98%.

Luka Doncic enters the game as the leading scorer for the Mavericks at 33.4 points per game, the best in the NBA. Spencer Dinwiddie is the second-leading scorer for the team at 16.3 points per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on 0 days’ rest.
  • Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games following a straight-up win.
  • Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.
  • Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Suns destroyed the Spurs last night but will be up against it Monday in Dallas. I’m laying the -3.5 with the Mavs.