Warriors vs. Mavericks Predictions 1/5/22

by | Jan 5, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (29-7 SU, 22-12-2 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (19-18 SU, 18-19 ATS)

When: Wednesday January 05 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center: Dallas Texas


Point Spread: GSW -5.5/DAL 5.5 (Opened at GSW -6 at BetNow – These guys will give you a 100% real cash bonus up to $1000 on your first deposit! The biggest sportsbook bonus on the web!)

Total: 211.5 (Opened at 211)

Money Line: Golden State -240/Dallas 200)

Power Rating: GSW -5.5

Probable Starting Lineups

Warriors: PG Stephen Curry, SG Jordan Poole, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

Mavericks: PG Luka Doncic, SG Reggie Bullock, SF Dorian Finney Smith, PF Maxi Kleber, C Dwight Powell

Key Injuries

Andre Iguodala: knee (QUESTIONABLE) Damion Lee: illness (OUT) Klay Thompson: knee (PROBABLE) James Wiseman: knee (OUT)

Trey Burke: conditioning (QUESTIONABLE) Willie Cauley-Stein: illness (OUT) Boban Marjanovic: illness (OUT) JaQuori McLaughlin: illness (OUT) Kristaps Porzingis: illness (OUT) Isaiah Thomas: illness (OUT)

The Golden State Warriors enter today’s game, having won 2 straight games. In their past ten contests, the Warriors have played above .500 basketball, going 8-2. As the road team, the Warriors travel to Dallas with a positive plus-minus of rating of 4.3 points. Overall the Warriors are ranked 2nd among NBA teams in point differential (0.9). Among NBA teams, they have played the 11th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Golden State Warriors to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered in 64.70% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 4.4.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Stephen Curry. So far, Curry is averaging 27.18 points per game while knocking down over five threes per contest. This output places him 2nd among point guards. Draymond Green has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 7.94 bards per game.

The Dallas Mavericks enter today’s game, having won 3 straight games. In their past ten contests, the Mavericks have played at a .500 rate, going 5-5. As they get set to host the Warriors, Dallas has a positive home plus-minus of 1.5 points. Overall, the Mavericks are ranked 10th among NBA teams in point differential (1.6). This has come while playing the 14th hardest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Dallas Mavericks to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they are covering the spread in 48.70% of their games.
Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 0.5.

On offense, the team’s leading qualified scorer is PG Jalen Brunson. So far, Brunson is averaging 16.06 points per game. The Mavericks’ best three-point shooter has been Luka Doncic, connecting on 2.61 shots from downtown per game. Dorian Finney-Smith is the team’s leading rebounder at 4.75 boards per game.

An Eye On Pace

Coming into this game, the Dallas Mavericks are the slowest-paced team in the league, averaging 95.6 possessions per game. Even with their slow tempo, they rank 9th in three-point attempts, at 37.1 per contests. On the other side, Golden State also likes to get up shots from deep, ranking 3rd with 40 three-point attempts per game. Overall, the Warriors ranked 13th in pace.

Key Matchups

Even though this matchup features two of the top offensive players in the league, with Stephen Curry and Luka Doncic, both the Warriors and Mavericks are top 5 defensive teams. However, in the case of Dallas, their tendency to play at a slow tempo helps limit their opponents’ scoring. As for Golden State, they are the league’s top-rated team in defensive efficiency, giving up 102 points per 100 possessions.

The Historicals

Tonight’s game between the Warriors and Mavericks will be their first meeting of the season. Last year, Dallas won the season series by a mark of 2-1.

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How the Public is betting the Warriors vs. Mavericks

60% are betting the Warriors against the spread.

55% are wagering on the game to go Over the posted total of 2011.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State’s last five games when playing on the road against Dallas.
  • Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last six games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’s last five games when playing at home against Golden State.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

In this matchup, look for Golden State to come out on top and cover the spread. Throughout the season, the Warriors have maintained their defensive intensity and focus, despite also being a prolific offensive unit. Their ability to defend will cause problems for a Mavericks unit near the middle of the pack in offensive efficiency.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

Stephen Curry comes into this game with an over-under prop total of 4.5. Look for Curry to bounce back after scoring just 9 points in his last appearance. I recommend taking the former MVP to knock down at least five three-point shots. Question: Did you know that you could be betting on games for less? Same point spread, better book! You can lay -105 odds on sides and totals instead of the -110 you’re getting hammered with! Be smart! Learn about reduced juice basketball betting!