Chicago Bears vs. Tennessee Titans Pick ATS

by | Nov 4, 2020 | nfl

Chicago Bears (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS) vs. Tennessee Titans (5-2, 2-5), 11/8/20

Time: 1 pm ET Sunday, Nov. 8

Where: Nissan Stadium

TV: Fox

Point spread: Chic +5.5/Tenn -5.5 (BAS - Why lay -110 when you can lay -105 there? Be smart!)

Moneyline: Bears +195/Titans -235

Over/Under: 46.5

Both the Titans and Bears started great this season but lug two-game losing streaks into Sunday afternoon’s inter-conference match-up in Nashville. Tennessee is 5-2, Chicago 5-3, but the Bears are covering point spreads, while the Titans, playing against heightened expectations, are not. The Titans are favored by one of those funny numbers in between three and seven. How are we playing this game with our free NFL pick?

NFL Betting Odds

Week 9’s NFL betting odds opened Tennessee at around -6 over Chicago, with an over/under of 46.5. Early betting action then dipped that spread half a point, to -5.5.

Bears vs. Titans Betting Preview

After starting 5-1 this season, Chicago lugs a two-game losing skid into Sunday, after falling at home to New Orleans in overtime last week 26-23. The Bears led that game 13-3 late into the second quarter, trailed 23-13 early in the fourth but rallied for two scores to force OT. Chicago then lost the game on a Saints field goal on the third possession of overtime.

However, the Bears hung on to cover the spread as 5.5-point home dogs.

On the day, Chicago got out-gained by New Orleans 394-329, out-rushed 122-96, and lost the turnover battle 1-0, resulting in a -3 points differential. And that was basically the game.

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The Bears have now been out-gained in each of their last five games and out-rushed each of their previous six.

Two weeks ago, Chicago lost to the Rams 24-10.

At 5-3 overall, the Bears trail the Rams by a head-to-head tie-breaker in the battle for the sixth and final NFC playoff spot.

Tennessee, meanwhile, following a 5-0 start to this season, also owns a two-game losing skid after falling at Cincinnati last week 31-20. The Titans fell down 10-0 early and trailed 17-7 at the half. They then gave up the first seven points out of the locker room and never fully recovered, going down to outright defeat as 7.5-point road favorites.

On the day, the Titans actually out-gained the Bengals 441-367 and won the ground battle 218-118. But they also committed the only turnover of the game, a terrible Ryan Tannehill interception on a first down from the Bengals’ 8-yard line in the first quarter, which kind of set a bad tone for the day.

Tennessee has now out-gained only three of its seven opponents this season, although it’s also out-rushed three of its last four foes.

Two weeks ago, the Titans fell down to Pittsburgh 27-7, rallied to within 27-24 but missed a field goal with 19 seconds left that would have forced overtime.
At 5-2 overall, Tennessee leads the AFC South by a tie-breaker over Indianapolis. If the playoffs started today, the Titans would host Baltimore for an AFC wild-card game.

These teams last met four seasons ago, a 27-21 Tennessee win at Soldier Field. But that’s already a long time ago for both these teams.

NFL Betting Trends

  • Chicago QB Nick Foles is 29-25 SU, 23-30-1 ATS as an NFL starter.
  • Chicago is 25-15 SU, 21-19 ATS in two-plus seasons under Coach Nagy.
  • Tennessee 15-5 SU but only 8-11-1 ATS with Tannehill as the starter at QB.
  • Tennessee is 23-16 SU, 18-20-1 ATS in two-plus seasons under Coach Vrabel.
  • Home teams are 60-58 SU, 54-63 ATS in the NFL this season.
  • Favorites are 75-42 SU but only 49-67 ATS in the NFL this season.

Totals Report

Unders are 5-3 in Bears games this season, which are averaging 41 total points against an average over/under of 44.

Overs are 5-1-1 in Titans games this season, which are averaging 56 total points against an average o/u of 49.

Overs are 63-54 in the NFL this season.

Free NFL Pick

Tennessee owns the edge on offense, but Chicago owns the better defense. And we usually like playing the team with the better defense in cases like this. Also, five of the Bears’ eight games this season have been decided by four points or less, while five of the Titans’ seven games have been decided by six points or less. And if this game turns ugly, like we think it very well may do, 5.5 points will come in handy. We’re betting the Bears plus the points here. Note: We’ve been advised that the fattest real cash bonus offer we’ve ever seen is about to come to an end. Don’t miss out! You can deposit anywhere from $100 to $1000 and get a 100% REAL CASH bonus at BetNow Sportsbook! It’s best bonus we’ve EVER seen from a legit sportsbook!