Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick 10/20/19
Philadelphia Eagles (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) vs. Dallas Cowboys (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS)
Date/Time: Sunday, October 20, 8:20 EST
Where: AT&T Stadium, Dallas
Point Spread: Phil +3 / Min -3 (MyBookie)
Over/Under Total: 49
Sunday Night Football comes to the Big D this week as the Eagles visit the Cowboys, and the winner will sit in first place in the NFC East. Both teams are looking to rebound off bad losses last week. Sportsbooks have made Dallas 3 point favorites and set the total at 49. The play is to take the Eagles and the 3 points. Here is the handicap.
Dallas Has Issues
The play this week on the Eagles is really a play against the Cowboys. The ‘Boys opened the season 3-0 and looked like legitimate super bowl contenders. But those wins were against the Giants (with Eli), Washington and Miami – if Eli were still starting at QB, they would all be bottom 5 in the league. When the schedule got tough with games against the Saints, Packers, and Jets, the Cowboys look more like pretenders than contenders. The Eagles are a lot more like the latter group of teams than the former teams. In the last two games against the Packers and Jets, the Cowboys were outscored 38-6 in the first half, which allowed them to rack up some garbage time stats to make the stat sheet not look so bad. Dallas was thoroughly outplayed by Green Bay, before looking bad against a winless Jet squat, and it’s hard to see how they right the ship this week against Philly.
The offense has been the biggest problem in Big D. Early in the season quarterback Dak Prescott played like he deserved the $40 million per year deal he was rumored to be seeking. But he has shown over the past three weeks that he is still a game manager that can’t put a team on his back. Injury issues are not helping the Dallas offense. Starting tackles Tyron Smith and La’El Collins have been out and are desperately needed this week. The Jets pummeled Prescott last week, and the Eagles have a ferocious defensive line that will gladly take the turn beating down Dak. Without those tackles, it is unlikely even Zeke Elliott will be able to run against a Philly defense that allows the 2nd fewest rushing yards per game. Amari Cooper has also been battling injuries over the past few weeks, and last week left the game with a hip injury. It’s unlikely he plays this week. The Eagles secondary has been a sieve that the Cowboys should be able to take advantage of, but if Prescott doesn’t have time and Cooper isn’t available, Dallas could find themselves in a big hole early again this week.
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Philadelphia Has Issues Also
The Eagles have been the picture of inconsistency this year. Two of their three wins are against the Redskins and Jets with Luke Falk at quarterback, and they lost to the Falcons and the Lions at home. They have a good win in Green Bay but got smoked by the Vikings last week in Minnesota. Injuries have also been an issue for the Eagles. Both starting receivers and the entire secondary have been sidelined at times during the 2019 campaign. QB Carson Wentz has continued to play at a high level, and Alshon Jeffery has returned to the field to give Wentz a reliable target. Zach Ertz is averaging 11 yards per catch and will be the primary target this week in Dallas. Coach Doug Pederson will rely on a run game that has averaged 120 yards per game over the last three weeks against a Dallas defense that gave up 120 yards to the Saints and Packers before tightening up against the Jets last week. The combo of Jordan Howard and rookie Miles Sanders are proving to be difficult for defenses to contain and should challenge the strong Cowboy linebacker unit. There is a chance that DeSean Jackson gets on the field, which makes this play a lot stronger. Jackson stretches the field, and even though he may only catch two or three passes, defenses have to protect against the deep ball on every play.
Philly’s primary issues are with the injuries in their secondary. Cornerbacks Ronald Darby, Avonte Maddox, and Jalen Mills have all been sidelined, and opponents have taken full advantage. Kirk Cousins and his receivers had career games last week against Philly’s B squad, and the Cowboys may be able to light up the B-team even without Cooper. But it appears Darby and Mills should suit up in Dallas, which will give the advantage to the Eagles, especially if Cooper is out or limited. Look for the Eagles to get healthy this week and for their defense to compete better than the past few weeks. With all of the issues on the Cowboys sideline, the Eagles should be able to keep the pressure on the Dallas offense this Sunday.
The Intangibles Are With The Eagles
This is really a good spot for both of these teams to rebound from bad losses last week, and with this game being for the division lead, both sides should be sufficiently motivated to play their best game. But the Cowboys appear to be in a deeper hole than the Philly. They have not yet proven they can beat a good team this year, and they have been embarrassed in the last two weeks. It appears neither Jerry Jones nor the players have confidence in Coach Jason Garrett. The Eagles, on the other hand, are in better shape to take a step forward this week. Pederson’s team understands how to come together and win the big game. Wentz is the unquestioned leader, and the team will rally around him. Dallas has had success against the Eagles in the recent past, but I look for that to change this week in Dallas.
Play the Road Dogs in Dallas
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