Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee Titans Odds & Predictions

by | Oct 22, 2020 | nfl

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) vs. Tennessee Titans (5-0, 2-3), 10/25/20

Time: 1 pm ET Sunday, Oct. 25

Where: Nissan Stadium


Point spread: Steelers -1.5/Titans +1.5 (MyBookie - Deposit $100, get a free $100 bet!)

Moneyline: Steelers -120/Titans +100

Over/Under: 51.5

Two of the last three undefeated teams in the league square off when the Titans host the Steelers Sunday afternoon in Nashville. This game could be a preview of an upcoming AFC playoff bout, and Sunday’s outcome could decide the location of such a match. The short spread means picking the winner probably results in a winning bet. Who do we like here for our free NFL pick?

NFL Betting Odds

Week 7’s NFL betting odds opened Pittsburgh at right around -1.5 for this game, with an over/under of 52.5. Early betting action kept that spread holding steady while dipping that total to 51.5.

Steelers vs. Titans Set-Up

Pittsburgh is 5-0 on the season after stuffing Cleveland last Sunday 38-7. The Steelers drove the opening possession of the game 58 yards to a field goal, then got a Minkah Fitzpatrick pick-six three plays later and basically rolled on from there. Pittsburgh led 24-0 before allowing the Browns to hit the board late in the second quarter, then blanked Cleveland in the second half, securing the victory and the easy cover as a three-point favorite.

On the afternoon, the Steelers only produced 277 yards of total offense but held the Browns to just 220. Pittsburgh also out-rushed Cleveland 129-75, won the time of possession by a 34:26 tilt, and won the turnover battle 2-0, creating a +14 points differential.

The Steelers have now out-gained and out-rushed each of their five opponents this season. They’re also 4-1 ATS.

Pittsburgh just played four home games in a row; they’ll now play three in a row on the road.

The Steelers may be 5-0 and in first place in the AFC North, but they’re only a half-game ahead of second-place Baltimore.

Tennessee, meanwhile, is also 5-0, after outlasting Houston last week 42-36 in overtime. The Titans punted on their first possession of the game, then drove 80, 71, and 85 yards to touchdowns on their next three to take a 21-10 lead into halftime. Tennessee then gave up a 26-8 Texans run to fall behind 36-29 with just under two minutes to go but drove 76 yards to a game-tying TD with four seconds left, then drove the opening possession of OT 82 yards to a game-winning score.

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Also, by scoring that overtime TD, the Titans got the point spread cover surpassing the -4 spread.

On the day, Tennessee racked up 601 yards of total offense, although they also gave up 412 to the Texans. The Titans also lost the turnover battle 2-0, missed a field goal, and had another one blocked, all of which combined to cost them about a 27-point swing. But the Titans out-rushed Houston 263-92, as RB Derrick Henry popped off for 212, and generally moved the ball at will, including in crunch time.

Tennessee has actually only out-gained two of its five opponents this season, but it’s also out-rushed three of five foes.

Two weeks ago, the Titans beat Buffalo 42-16 but actually got out-gained 370-334.

At 5-0, Tennessee leads the AFC South by a game and a half over second-place Indianapolis.

On the injury front, Pittsburgh MLB Devin Bush is now out for the season with a torn ACL, and the Steelers could be down one or two starting offensive linemen this week.

These teams last met three seasons ago, a 40-17 Pittsburgh victory.

NFL Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger is 149-71-1 as an NFL starter.
  • Tennessee is 15-3 SU but only 8-9-1 ATS with Ryan Tannehill as the starter at quarterback.
  • Home teams are only 47-43 SU, 40-49 ATS in the NFL this season.
  • Favorites are 59-31 SU but 40-49 ATS in the NFL this season.
  • Home dogs are 9-21 SU, 14-14-1 ATS in the NFL this season.

Totals Report

  • Overs are 3-2 in Steelers games this season, which are averaging 50 total points against an average over/under of 45.
  • Overs are 4-1 in Titans games this season, which are averaging a healthy 58 points against an average O/U of 48.
  • Overs are 48-42 in the NFL this season, but the unders played 9-5 last week.

Free NFL Pick

Tennessee ranks No. 2 in the NFL in total offense, but Pittsburgh ranks No. 2 in total defense, and in match-ups like this, we love betting on the defense. There’s nothing more aggravating than needing a defensive stop late in the game and not getting it. Plus, home-field advantage is almost non-existent in the NFL this season. We’ll take the Steelers, giving the short spread. Note: Does your bookie charge you -110 odds on your bets? If so, you SERIOUSLY need to take 2 minutes to make the switch to BetAnySports where you can bet on games at -105! You save $5 per every $100 you’re trying to win. Imagine how much that adds up to over the course of the season, or 10 years for that matter! You’ll save THOUSANDS of dollars! Click here to start betting smarter today!