NFL Football Picks
With almost every NFL team, there are going to be peaks and valleys. The Raiders have been awful—there is no debate. But they managed to beat the Cardinals on the road a few weeks back. They dominated most of the first half against the Chargers the game before. And, against Baltimore on the road last week, they took a 7-0 lead and trailed only 13-10 at halftime. So, it’s not like they’re getting run over every time out. When looking at those efforts the 15 points bookmakers are offering looks a little juicy.
This season hasn’t gone according to script for the Lions, sitting at 4-7 and basically out of contention. Detroit is just a team taking up space. They have jumped up from time to time, with their wins coming against some good teams like New England and Carolina, along with decent teams like Miami and Green Bay. But more often than not, they fall flat as they did at home against the Bears last Thursday. Still, they were in it until the end. The big games have bettors looking at betting the +9.5 at their sportsbook. Should you? Loot makes his prediction.
The one thing the Cardinals have going for them is a nice defense against the pass. After Rivers threw for over 400 yards last week, they will be pushed to their limits. Unfortunately for them, their run-defense is maybe the worst in the conference. Even Oakland was able to feast on this “D,” which is a damning indictment if there ever was one. With the Chargers able to run the ball well, especially with star back Melvin Gordon, it looms as a major matchup problem. But is it a 12 point problem? LL looks at the match up and the 11.5 point spread.
Just like every week, the Seattle Seahawks will attempt to allow their run game to dictate the tempo and success of their offense. Through the entire 2018 season so far, the Seahawks are averaging 154 yards a game on the ground and just under 200 a game passing. Running the read option with Russell Wilson is a huge part of this teams offense and that will not stop come Sunday. How will their predictable game plan play out vs Carolina? Bob Clark has your NFL pick.
The Raiders were up against one of the NFL’s thinnest run defenses, but managed to get the job done with a committee of running backs. Jalen Richard, Doug Martin and DeAndre Washington combined for 152 yards on 33 carries for a 4.6 yards per attempt average and provided the offense with a nearly perfect balance of passing and running plays. They also won the turnover battle with 2 INTs. Can the Raiders build on week 11 and get the cover the sportsbooks have set at +11?
When these two met back in Week 6, Saquon Barkley went off with 229 total yards from scrimmage, 130 on the ground and 99 receiving. There’s no reason to think that the Giants won’t have similar plans for Sunday, particularly after Saints’ running backs Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara combined to gash Philly for 211 yards and 3 touchdowns from scrimmage. Can the Giants run through Philly again? Rick Wise has your NFL pick!
The Bucs are the best in the business when it comes to throwing the football. Tampa Bay’s passing attack compiles an astonishing 361.2 yards per game through the air. Overall, Tampa’s offense is the best in the league in terms of total production as well as averaging 452.8 yards per game. Their weakness is their defense which continues to give up a league-worst 32.3 points per game. Fortunately for them they face a Giants team scoring under 20 per yet online bookmakers have the Giants favored by 2.
The schedule maker didn’t do Green Bay any favors this season as the Packers will be finishing up a streak where they will have played four of five away from home after their Week 7 bye. The road hasn’t been kind to the Pack as they have dropped all three (Rams, Patriots, Seahawks) to move to 0-5 as visitors overall. The Vikings have won four of the last six games in this series straight up and the home team has fared well of late going 4-1 ATS in the last five between these two. Sportsbooks have the Pack as 3.5 point underdogs and Ted Walker has an NFL prediction.
The Colts have gone on a great run over the last month and much of the success is due to the play of Andrew Luck. A few years back, Andrew Luck was supposed to be the next great QB but after a few years of injuries, many thought his career could be over. He proved them wrong…at least so far. This year, Luck has passed for almost 3,000 yards and 29 touchdowns…yes, 29 touchdowns in just ten games. Does the Miami defense offer enough to slow Luck and stay within 9 for Dolphin backers?
This game is a re-match of last year’s AFC Wildcard Round contest where the Bills ended their playoff drought. Sadly for Buffalo, their season only extended one more week when the Jaguars defense led Jacksonville to a 10-3 win. Overall, the Jaguars and Bills have split the last four meetings between the two sides with two wins each. Which team is primed to make that record 3-2 in the last 5? Keith Franks has a moneyline selection for Sunday’s game!
Don’t look now, but the Houston Texans have won 7 in a row, and are now 7-3 with a 2 game lead in the AFC South. Despite the winning streak, Houston is not getting any of the recognition that teams like the Saints, Rams and Chiefs are getting for similar streaks. 4 of the 7 wins have come by less than one score, and bettors laying the points at their bookmaker have only cashed half of their last 6 games. Sportsbooks have the Texans favored inside a TD at -6
The Browns offense looked good in week 11. Offensive coordinator Freddie Kitchens drew up a beauty of a gameplan that allowed both Baker Mayfield and Nick Chubb to shine and give Browns fans a reason to believe that this team is truly on the verge of a turnaround. Mayfield finished 17-of-20 for 216 yards and 3 touchdowns and soared to his highest quarterback rating (97.1) and passer rating (151.3) of the season. That is in large part why sportsbooks are only giving the Browns 3 points. Is that enough? RW breaks it down!
The Patriots head to Jersey to take on the Jets for a Sunday afternoon showdown of AFC East rivals. New England has dominated of late with wins in twelve of the last fourteen games between the teams, but it is Gang Green who has had the upper hand against the spread with a record of 8-2 in the last ten meetings including five straight covers at home. Now that we have the ATS hocus pocus out of the way, lets dive into the matchup!
This Chicago defense is for real. Their front-seven is immense, with one of the best run-stopping groups up-front. And with Khalil Mack, Roquan Smith, Danny Trevathan, and Leonard Floyd at linebacker, they make a lot of plays. Mack has shown what he can do when the field is balanced with other star players around him. This might be the best Chicago “D” since they won the Super Bowl over 30 years ago. Will the Bears shut down the Lions or will the Lions manage to score like they did a few weeks ago? LL has your Thanksgiving pick!
A lot of people were surprised by the Cowboys 2nd straight road win last week. After going on the road to beat Philadelphia, the Cowboys continued on and took down the Falcons to climb back to the .500 mark on the season and within striking distance of the playoffs. Last week’s win over Atlanta was the most impressive when you consider the Cowboys defense held the explosive Atlanta offense to just 19 points with a makeshift defensive line. Most betting sites show Dallas -8 suggesting Dallas has momentum!
When these teams met in week 3 with identical 1-1 records in Atlanta, the Falcons were 4 point favorites. Both teams were considered top 3 teams in the NFC, both had an equal chance to be 9-1 coming into this game, and it would take a lot of injuries for one of the teams to be 4-6, but the Falcons were considered a slightly better team. Since winning that week 3 game in overtime, everything has clicked for New Orleans, and everything has gone wrong for Atlanta. Atlanta looks to turn it around as players look at the sportsbook’s juicy +12.