It’s always a red flag when the public is betting a college football underdog to the tune of 75%, which is the case as these two 11-1 teams play for the Big 12 Championship. Bettors are obviously remembering when the Baylor Bears where up four scores on the Sooners, only to blow the fat lead and lose. To astute handicappers, the comeback shows the dominance Jalen Hurts and Co. can command when full effort is exercised.
The Boise State Broncos get a huge boost with the Mountain West Title Game taking place on their home turf. Nick Rolovich has done a heck of a job turning the Hawaii college football program around, but it’ll be a tall task to go into Albertson’s Stadium and steal a win, much less a cover.
The Pac-12 Championship may end up being a one-sided affair. The Oregon Ducks are talented on paper, but always seem to struggle on the road and versus good teams. The Utah Utes have been a finely tuned machine, winning 11 of 12 games and covering 75% of their games at a 9-3 clip. Expect more of the same from both of these teams.
Between the dominance shown by the LSU and the fact that they won this very same matchup by 20 points with most of the same players last year, it’s surprising to see the SEC Championship game come out with an opening line of the Tigers only being favored by 7 points. Check out Jay’s take on how he thinks the game will play out!
The Ohio State Buckeyes have been an absolute machine with regards to covering point spreads this season. Bettors have prospered huge, cashing 75% of their bets (9-3 ATS when backing OSU. The Big Ten Championship game opened up with a 16.5 spread. With 17 being a key number (common final score margin) in college football, bookies are banking on the Badger covering/getting the money.
While “The Game” gets much buzz in the middle of the country, Michigan has only beaten Ohio State twice since 2000 and Jim Harbaugh is 0-4 since coming to Ann Arbor. Can Big Blue turn it around or will Harbaugh move to 0-5? Ted thinks one of these teams covers easily and wins by 20+!
UCF has won four of their last five games, but appear to be overvalued going just 1-4 versus the spread. They take on USF who has had a disastrous recording only four wins on the campaign. Can the Bulls come up with a big effort to end their season on a positive note?
With all the talk of an LSU Tigers undefeated season, bettors have stars in their eyes and tend to get sucked into the media yayhoo and lose track of the fact that TAMU is a formdiable opponent who isn’t going to just lay down. The 17 in college football is a key number believe it or not, which is another indication that the sportsbooks love their position with the Aggies.
At first glance, this game appears to be somewhat of a crapshoot with regards to the point spread. After diving into the numbers, it becomes very apparent that the Cowboys are seriously overmatched. Yeah, anything can happen in rivarly games, but not this one!
With 13 weeks of college football behind us, we have somewhat of an advantage in that we have lots of data to go off of to help us predict winners. In the case of Notre Dame vs. Stanford, one team is clearly playing for something and the other has folded up their tent and gone home. Stanford at 4-7 straight up and 3-8 against the spread simply isn’t getting it done. Look for ND to put their foot on the pedal here with hopes of being selected for the best possible bowl game.