Angels vs. Guardians Total Bet 9/12/22

by | Last updated Sep 12, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs Cleveland Guardians
Date: Monday September 12th, 06:10 ET
Location: Progressive Field
TV: Bally Sports West
Money Line: Angels +117 / Guardians -140
Total Line: 8.5


Los Angeles: Reid Detmers (5-5, 3.5)
Cleveland: Konnor Pilkington (1-2, 3.99)

Angels Projected Lineup

Mickey Moniak LF
Max Stassi C
Luis Rengifo 2B
Taylor Ward RF
Mike Ford 1B
Andrew Velazquez SS
DH Shohei Ohtani
David Fletcher 2B
Mike Trout CF
Reid Detmers P

Guardians Projected Lineup

Tyler Freeman 3B
Austin Hedges C
Andrés Giménez 2B
Oscar Gonzalez RF
Owen Miller 1B
Myles Straw CF
José Ramírez 3B
Steven Kwan LF
Amed Rosario SS
Konnor Pilkington P


Los Angeles Angels: 61-79-0 SU / OU 60-68-12 / Run Line W/L 65-75-0
Cleveland Guardians: 73-65-0 SU / OU 60-70-8 / Run Line W/L 72-66-0

The Cleveland Guardians host the Los Angeles Angels on Monday September 12th at Progressive Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Cleveland as the favorite (-140), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Angels come into this matchup having suffered an 8-run loss to Houston (12-4). On their way to giving up 12 runs, the Angels staff allowed 12 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 4 runs on 11 hits. The loss came as Los Angeles was the betting underdog, getting 220.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Angels and Houston combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.0 runs. Games involving the Angels have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 60-68-12.

Over the Angels’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -4. However, the team’s offense isn’t to blame, as they are averaging 4.4 runs per game (last 5) compared to their season average of 3.84. Los Angeles’s overall series record is just 17-23-4.

Cleveland is coming off a 3-run win over the Twins (4-1). In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 5 hits. At the plate, the Guardians only came through for 4 runs on 10 hits. In the game, Cleveland was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -140.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 73 games, winning at a rate of 60.0%. With this result, the Guardians and Twins combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. Now, Cleveland had an over-under record of 60-70-8.

Across their last 5 contests, the Guardians are above .500, going 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +8 (last 5). Cleveland is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.4 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.17. On the season, Cleveland has won more than half of their series, going 20-14-10.

Pitching Matchup

Reid Detmers gets the start for the Angels, with an overall record of 5-5. To date, Detmers has an ERA of 3.5 while lasting an average of 5.14 innings per appearance. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.224 against Detmers. Detmers is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.08 per 9 innings. Per game, Reid Detmers is averaging 5.0, on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. Command has been a problem for Detmers, as he is giving up 3.5 walks per outing.

The Cleveland Guardians will send Konnor Pilkington to the mound with an overall record of 1-2. Pilkington gets the start with an ERA of 3.99. On average, he has lasted 3.62 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.261. Throughout the season, Pilkington has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.76 per 9 innings. Up to this point, Pilkington has a strikeout percentage of just 19.0% and a per-game average of 3.15. Command has been a problem for Pilkington, as he is giving up 5.13 walks per outing.

Los Angeles vs Cleveland History

Today’s matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and Cleveland Guardians will be their 5th meeting of the season. Los Angeles has the lead in the series at 4-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-3. The average run total in these games is 7.67 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.25 runs. Dating back to last season, Cleveland picked up 5 wins compared to 1, taking the season series. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-3. Last year, the Angels and Guardians averaged 7.67 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.33 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels’ last 6 games when playing Cleveland
  • LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
  • Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Heading into Monday’s American League matchup between Los Angeles and Cleveland, the over-under is set at 8.5 runs. I recommend taking the over, as both teams should have above-average nights at the plate with Reid Detmer and Konnor Pilkington on the mound.

Free MLB Pick: Over 8.5 Runs