Miami Marlins vs. NY Mets Runline Pick | June 13

by | Last updated Jun 13, 2024 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Date: Thursday, June 13th, 7:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
Money Line: Marlins +165/Mets -197 (Odds cost less at BAS! Bet smarter!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Marlins on Thursday, June 13th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIA +165 +1.5 O 8.5 (-110)
NYM -197 -1.5 U 8.5 (-112)

Thursday’s matchup between the Marlins and Mets is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Mets are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -197, while the Marlins are +165. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Miami comes into the game with a record of 23-44, while the Mets are 29-37 overall. This one will be televised on BSFL, and Roddery Munoz is starting for the Marlins, while the Mets are going with Luis Severino.

Marlins vs. Mets Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1 CF
Bryan De La Cruz 2 DH
Josh Bell 3 1B
Jesús Sánchez 4 RF
Jake Burger 5 3B
Nick Gordon 6 LF
Tim Anderson 7 SS
Otto Lopez 8 2B
Nick Fortes 9 C
Roddery Muñoz SP


Player Batting Order Position
Francisco Lindor 1 SS
Pete Alonso 2 1B
Brandon Nimmo 3 LF
J.D. Martinez 4 DH
DJ Stewart 5 RF
Mark Vientos 6 3B
Jeff McNeil 7 2B
Harrison Bader 8 CF
Francisco Alvarez 9 C
Luis Severino SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 23-44 SU / OU 36-30 / Runline 27-40
New York Mets: 29-37 SU / OU 34-30 / Runline 30-36

It was all Mets in the last game of this series, as they took down the Marlins by a score of 10-4. New York had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three runs, and added three more in the 5th. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 5th and added two more in the 8th.

David Peterson only went five innings for the Mets but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with just one strikeout but induced nine ground ball outs. On the other side, Braxton Garrett was tagged for four runs in 4 2/3 innings of work for the Marlins.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Starling Marte did a bit of everything for the Mets, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs while scoring two runs and stealing a base.

Marlins Records & Recent Play

Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-44, which has them 23 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are just 5-13 in divisional games. The Marlins have dropped four straight series and are 5-15-1 in series this year.

At home, the Marlins are just 12-25 this year compared to an 11-19 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 20-32 this year and just 3-12 when favored.

On the road, the Marlins have a run line record of 16-14, but overall, they are 27-40 against the run line. When they win, they win by an average of 3.1 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. As the favorite, they are just 1-14 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 26-26.

When the Marlins are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Miami games this season is 36-30, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-10. So far this season, 49.3% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs.

More Free Picks: Get Today's Free Best Bets >>>

DMets Records & Recent Play

The Mets host the Marlins today with an overall record of 29-37, which puts them 4th in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 16.5 games for the division lead. New York is 10-10 in divisional matchups this year.

At home, the Mets are just 14-23 compared to 15-14 on the road. So far, they have been favored in 33 games, going 16-17 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Mets are 13-20 this year, and they are 8-12-3 in series this year and have won two straight series on the road.

Despite a negative run differential on the season, the Mets have been profitable on the run line, going 30-36 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 18-11, compared to just 12-25 at home. They have been better on the run line as an underdog, going 18-15, compared to just 12-21 as the favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.9, while it is -3.1 in losing games.

The Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 9.3. Their over/under record is 34-30, and when the line is set at 8.5, the over/under record is 8-5. In 21.2% of their games, the line has been set at 8.5, and the average line for their games is 8 runs. They have gone over the line of 8.5 runs in 14 games this season.

Pitching Matchup

Roddery Muñoz is getting the start for the Marlins on the road against the Mets. So far this season, he has a win and two losses. In his last start, he went 4 innings and gave up 4 earned runs. He also gave up 6 runs in his first start of the season.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and is facing the Marlins at home. So far this season, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.25. Opposing batters are hitting .204 this year off Severino, and he has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, Severino was excellent, going eight innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He picked up the win in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Severino has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.85 compared to 4.28 on the road.

Marlins vs. Mets Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their team ISO of .116 is the worst in the league. Miami’s team batting average of .233 is just 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging.

Bryan De La Cruz has been one of the few bright spots in the Marlins lineup this season, as he is batting .249 with a team-high 11 homers. De La Cruz is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 9/35 (.257) over his last nine games. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is also near the top of the Marlins home run leaderboard, with nine homers this season.

Over the past 10 games, Francisco Lindor has gone 12/42 (.286) with two home runs and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .234, but his 32 RBIs are the most on the team. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are also tied for the team lead in RBIs, with both players having gone deep seven times this season. Alonso is batting just .235, and Nimmo is only hitting .217.

Alonso and Nimmo will be looking to get their batting averages up, as the Mets are just 28th in the league in runs per game at home, averaging only 3.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are 13th in the league at 4.4 runs per game. As a team, the Mets are batting .242, which is 11th in the MLB right now.

Free Marlins vs. Mets MLB Pick

The Mets have scored at least six runs in five of their last seven games, including exploding for 10 runs vs. the Marlins yesterday. And given that Roddery Munoz has given up six homers between his last two outings, I like the Mets to pick up the win and cover the run line today.

Who are you betting with? Does your bookie offer first 5 innings lines? In-game betting where you can place a bet at ANY time of the game after it’s starter? Does he offer 50% bonuses for credit card deposits and 75% up to $750 if you use Bitcoin? Does he have a massive wagering menu with tons of props? The fastest payouts on the web? PROBABLY NOT! So why are you playing second fiddle when you could be enjoying the benefits of betting at a world class sportsbook? Check out Bovada Sportsbook and start having a better betting experience TODAY!


MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!