Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Moneyline Prediction

by | Sep 13, 2022 | mlb

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday September 13th, 12:35 ET

Location: Great American Ball Park

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Money Line: Pirates -120 / Reds -100 (BAS - Bet on games at reduced odds! It’s smart!)

Total Line: OFF

STARTING PITCHING

Pittsburgh: Johan Oviedo (2-1, 3.2)
Cincinnati: Luis Cessa (3-2, 4.97)

Pirates Projected Lineup

Michael Chavis 1B
Cal Mitchell RF
Ke’Bryan Hayes 3B
Jack Suwinski LF
Jason Delay C
Rodolfo Castro 2B
Ben Gamel 1B
Oneil Cruz SS
Bryan Reynolds CF
Johan Oviedo P

Reds Projected Lineup

Spencer Steer 3B
Jose Barrero SS
TJ Friedl CF
Nick Senzel CF
Kyle Farmer 3B
Chuckie Robinson C
Donovan Solano 1B
Jonathan India 2B
Jake Fraley LF
Luis Cessa P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Pittsburgh Pirates: 52-88-0 SU / OU 62-68-10 / Run Line W/L 69-71-0
Cincinnati Reds: 56-83-0 SU / OU 70-65-4 / Run Line W/L 66-73-0

The Cincinnati Reds host the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday September 13th at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Pittsburgh as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Pittsburgh will be looking to tack on another win after taking down Cincinnati by the score of 6-3. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited Cincinnati to 3 runs on 9 hits. The Pirates lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 10 hits, leading to 6 runs. Pittsburgh picked up the win, despite getting 115.0 on the moneyline. In the game, the Pirates and Cincinnati combined to match the over-under betting line of 9.0 runs. At 62-68-10, Pittsburgh has combined to stay below the over-under betting lines in over half of their games.

Over the Pirates’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -4. However, the team’s offense isn’t to blame, as they are averaging 4.4 runs per game (last 5) compared to their season average of 3.56. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is just 10-29-7.

Cincinnati will look to move on from a 3-run loss to the Pirates, falling by the score of 6-3. Cincinnati’s pitching staff gave up 10 hits, leading to 6 runs for the Pirates. The Reds offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 9 hits. Cincinnati came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-135.0). For the season, the team has been favored in 35 games, winning at a rate of 40.0%. Combined, the Reds and the Pirates matched the over-under total of 9.0. This outcome leaves Cincinnati with an over-under line of 70-65-4.

In their last 5 contests, the Reds have just 2 wins, going 2-3. During this time, the team has a run differential of -1. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate (4.4), similar to their season-long average of 4.29. Cincinnati has a below .500 series record of just 15-23-7.

Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates will send Johan Oviedo to the mound with an overall record of 2-1. Through 14 appearances, Oviedo has an ERA of just 3.2 while averaging 1.79 innings per appearance. So far, opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, posting a BA of 0.26. Home runs have been an issue for Oviedo, as he is allowing an average of 1.43 per 9 innings pitched. Oviedo has had trouble generating strikeouts, averaging just 1.86 K’s per game on a K rate of 24.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.49 walks per contest.

The Cincinnati Reds will send Luis Cessa to the mound with an overall record of 3-2. Cessa gets the start with an ERA of 4.97. On average, he has lasted 1.32 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.266. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above-average rate against Cessa. This year, he is allowing 1.66 HR’s per 9 innings pitched. Cessa has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 20.0% and a per game average of 1.07. Cessa has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 2.98 per contest.

Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati History

Today’s matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds will be their 14th meeting of the season. Currently, Cincinnati is winning the season series 7-6. The over-under record in this series sits at 7-5. The average run total in these games is 10.47 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.85 runs. Cincinnati won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 13 wins to 6. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 12-5, with the average run total being 10.47 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 5.32 runs per game.

Get our projected O/U winner for today’s Cubs vs. Mets game

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh’s last 14 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • Cincinnati is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Leading into Tuesday’s NL Central matchup, the Pirates have a small edge on the moneyline. However, I recommend taking the Reds to pick up the win, as Pittsburgh figures to turn to their bullpen early, as Johan Oviedo has primarily been used out of the bullpen this year.

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