Blazers vs. Heat Prediction ATS 11/7/22

by | Nov 7, 2022 | nba

Portland Trail Blazers (6-3 SU, 7-2-0 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (4-6 SU, 2-8-0
ATS)

When: Monday, November 7th, 8:30 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, FL, Miami

TV: BSS

Point Spread: POR +7.5/ MIA -7.5 (Bet your games at -105 odds at BAS! Quit wasting money! Pay less!)

Total: 220.0

Money Line: Portland Trail Blazers +232/ -293

Notable Injuries

Trail Blazers

  • Damian Lillard (Questionable) Calf
  • Justise Winslow (Probable) Ankle
  • Gary Payton II (Out) Abdomen
  • Josh Hart (Probable) Ankle
  • Anfernee Simons (Doubtful) Foot
  • Olivier Sarr (Out) Wrist

Heat

  • Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
  • Tyler Herro (Questionable) Ankle
  • Ömer Yurtseven (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

The Trail Blazers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 6-3. So far, the team
has gone 7-2-0 against the spread. Across the team’s previous three games, they have gone 1-2
straight-up and 2-1 vs. the spread.

Not only did the Trail Blazers drop their last game to the Suns. But they also picked up an
ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 102-82 as 11-point underdogs. Portland got off to a slow
start, trailing by 21 points going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Jerami Grant,
as he contributed 14 points while hitting 40.0% of his shots.

So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 4-6 while going 2-8-0 vs. the spread.
In the team’s past three games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Miami is 1-2 vs. the spread in these
matchups.

In their previous game, the Heat were favored to win vs. the Pacers. However, their 101-99
loss gave them both a straight-up and ATS defeat. Even though Miami made a substantial comeback
in the 2nd half, it was not enough to make up for their 12-point halftime deficit. In the loss,
Tyler Herro led the team in scoring with 29 points on a field goal percentage of 40.0%.

The Historicals

In their two wins over the Trail Blazers, the Heat won by scores of 115-109 and 92-92. Last
year, the Trail Blazers saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Heat, averaging 100.5
points per game. While the Trail Blazers struggled on offense in the series, the Heat maintained
their usual level of scoring at 109.5 vs. Portland. The Heat have had the better record vs. the
spread over the last five games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits
at 9 points per game. Over the course of these games, they averaged 217 points per game, leading
a 2-3 over-under record.

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Analysis

Through nine games, the Trail Blazers are averaging 109.8 points per contest, placing them 23rd
in the NBA. So far, the Trail Blazers are averaging 98.0 possessions per game, which places them
below the NBA average. Not only is the team one of the more deliberate units in the NBA, but they
also have yet to find their shooting stroke, ranking just 19th in the league in field goal
percentage at 46.3%.

Currently, the Trail Blazers’ defense is ranked 27th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams
are averaging 115.11 points per game vs. the unit.

A key matchup to watch is if the team’s leading scorer Jerami Grant will be limited at all by
the Heat, who are on the NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing power forwards.

Through 10 games, the Heat are averaging 108.1 points per contest, placing them 25th in the
NBA. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Heat are currently below the league average in
possessions per game, averaging just 97.5 per contest. Right now, the Heat offense is in search
of answers, as not only do they tend to play at a slow pace, but they are just 25th in effective
field goal percentage.

So far, the Heat have played well defensively, as they are ranked 4th in the league at 105.57
points per contest.

Tyler Herro could be in line for a big game vs. the Trail Blazers, as they were one of the
worst units at defending shooting guards in the 2021-2022 regular season.

More Picks: Get our Cavs vs. Clippers 11/7/22 game analysis and free pick ATS

Betting Trends

  • Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games when playing on one day’s rest.
  • Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Portland off a back-to-back and then having to cross multiple times zones missing key pieces
is a recipe for another loss. They don’t match up well with the Heat either. I’m laying the points
with Miami. Place your NBA bets for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $50 to $300 by using bonus promo code PREDICT100 when you sign up and deposit into a betting account at MyBookie Sportsbook!