Celtics vs. Bucks Odds & Picks

by | Apr 7, 2022 | nba

Boston Celtics (50-30 SU, 41-36-3 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (49-30 SU, 38-41-0 ATS)

When: Thursday April 07 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

TV: BSWI

Point Spread: BOS +6/MIL -6 (Opened MIL -5 at WagerWeb, home of the 20 point NBA teaser!)

Total: 229.5 (Opened at 230)

Money Line: Boston -146/Milwaukee 122

Power Rating: MIL -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart, SG Jaylen Brown Q, SF Jayson Tatum Q, PF Grant Williams, C Daniel Theis

Milwaukee Bucks PG Jrue Holiday, SG Wesley Matthews, SF Khris Middleton, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo P, C Brook Lopez

Key Injuries

Boston Celtics
Nik Stauskas: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Juwan Morgan: Illness (OUT)
Robert Williams III: Knee (OUT)

Milwaukee Bucks
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Knee (PROBABLE)
Grayson Allen: Hip (DOUBTFUL)
DeAndre’ Bembry: Knee (OUT)

The Milwaukee Bucks host the Boston Celtics in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Fiserv Forum.

Recent Form

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 50-30, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 22-17. Over their last five games, the Celtics have played well, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Boston is averaging 120.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 111.3. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though Boston has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 108.0 points per game, up from the Celtics’ usual rate of 104.1. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, Boston took down Chicago by a score of 117-94

The Milwaukee Bucks come into this game with an overall record of 49-30, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Milwaukee is above .500 at home, holding a record of 26-14. The Bucks have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Milwaukee is averaging 119.0 points per game, 4.0 points more than their season average of 115.2. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. Even though the Bucks have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 122.0 points per game, up from Milwaukee’s usual rate of 111.9. In the Milwaukee Bucks’ most recent game, Milwaukee took down Chicago by a score of 127-106.

Reduced Juice Sportsbook

BAS Sportsbook
BET AT -105
 
 

Individual Player Analysis

As Boston travels to take on the Milwaukee Bucks, the Celtics’ leading scorer is Jayson Tatum. Through 74 games, Tatum is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 47.0% of his games. As Tatum gets set to take on the Bucks, he could be in line for a big game as Milwaukee is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.85% of their games. This figure places them 21st among NBA defenses. On the other side, Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Bucks in scoring, averaging 29 points across his 65 games. Throughout the season, Antetokounmpo has outscored his season average in 51.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Antetokounmpo will need to do so against a Celtics defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 46.77%. This figure is good for a rank of 9th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Bucks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 111.5 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Milwaukee is winning at a rate of 65%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Celtics hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 38 games as the better defensive team, picking up 21 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Milwaukee picked up a 117-113 win.

How the Public is Betting the Celtics vs Bucks

67% are betting the Bucks against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 227.5

More Picks: Get Joe’s Free NBA Pick Memphis at Denver 4/7/22 >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Bucks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.
  • Bucks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

In one the more exciting matchups of tonight’s slate of games, the Bucks and Celtics are locked in a battle for the 2nd seed in the East. One conversation heading into the game will be whether either team actually wants to finish 2nd in the East, as it could mean a first-round matchup with the Brooklyn Nets. However, based on how each team has been playing, look for this to be a highly contested game. Even though Milwaukee has played well against the Eastern Conference’s best teams, these games have come down to the wire. I expect a similar outcome and recommend taking Boston to cover the 6 point spread. Bankroll running low? Don’t reup for NOTHING at your bookie! Take advantage of a 100% real cash bonus from one of the top sportsbooks on our best sportsbook bonuses page!