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Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Game 3 Free Pick 6/6/18

by | Jun 6, 2018 | nba

Golden State Warriors (72-29 SU, 44-56-1 ATS) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (62-40 SU, 41-60-1 ATS)
Time: Wednesday, June 6th, 2018 – 9:00 PM ET
Where: Quicken Loans Arena – Cleveland, OH
TV: ABC / TSN
by Keith, Professional NBA Handicapper, Predictem

Odds Golden State -182, Cleveland +160
Point Spread: Cleveland +4.5
Total Line: 216.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers will host the defending NBA Champion Golden State Warriors at the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio for Game Three of the NBA Finals. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 PM and is set to be televised on ABC with corresponding coverage available on TSN. The Warriors have now jumped out to a 2-0 lead after defeating the Cavaliers in Game Two by a score of 122-103. In Game Two, King James would once again display his athletic prowess. The King would go for 29 points, 13 assists, and 9 rebounds one short of another Triple-Double.

After Game One, the expectation for Game Two was for the contest to be another exciting one. However, Golden State was able to clamp down and win decisively after an astounding fourth quarter performance. In doing so, point man Steph Curry set a record with nine three-pointers showcasing yet again why he is regarded by many as perhaps the greatest shooter in NBA history.

Betting Trends

On the year, the Warriors are 33-16 SU away from home while Cleveland is an impressive 37-13 SU at home. Overall, Golden State has now won nine of the last ten fixtures between these two franchises. Cleveland has won their previous eight matches at home in the post-season. The Over has now also gone 6-2 SU in the last eight games.

Handicapping Analysis

Game Two’s result sells the stock of the Warriors immensely. Golden State now stands just two games away from a third NBA Championship in four years. With this course of events, the Warriors become eye candy ever more to many takers. With a low number to spot in comparison to Game One and Game Two, the Warriors seem to offer tremendous upside here as their lowest margin of victory was ten points.

The fact remains that Cleveland plays a different level of basketball at home. When you combine the clear-cut home court advantage with the presence of perhaps the greatest player in the history of basketball, the Cavaliers offer tremendous upside with points here. Lest us forget that we have seen Cleveland in this predicament before this post-season against Boston, the Cavaliers would continue on to win the Eastern Conference Finals in seven games. Three games at The Q were instrumental in that narrative.

Public Money

Out of the chute, we have seen 58% of the cash action and 56% of the ticket action come in on Cleveland against the spread. In public forums, we have seen the Cavaliers take back 58% of the consensus. As a result of the early action, we have seen the line fall by half of a point to reflect the initial action on the Cavaliers. In the Over/Under, the line has dropped by a point to reflect the action on the Under. 54% of the cash action is on the Under. However, 55% of the ticket action is on the Over.

Warriors vs. Cavs Pick on the ML

Perhaps it may be construed as a bit overzealous or ambitious, but Cleveland on the Money Line offers tremendous equity. In trading away the points for the Cavs outright, the vig is nullified, and a far more favorable return is synthesized. The must-win angle what we are working with here. Generally, such practices are nothing to bank upon in the world of sports betting. However, LeBron James’ greatness renders Cleveland virtually impervious to such hyperbole. The fact remains in Game One, the books priced Golden State as a double-digit favorite yet bizarre circumstances prevented them from losing outright. The next two games in The Land will serve as an ideal venue to give the Cavaliers a fighting chance to get back in this series. Rest assured they will do whatever they can to make the most of it.

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