Mavericks vs. Suns Game 2 Odds & Best Bet

by | May 4, 2022 | nba

Dallas Mavericks (56-33 SU, 52-35-2 ATS) vs. Phoenix Suns (69-20 SU, 49-40-0 ATS)
When: Wednesday May 04 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Footprint Center, Phoenix, Arizona
TV: TNT

Point Spread: DAL +6.5/PHX -6.5 (Opened PHX -6 at GtBets)
Total: 216 (Opened at 216)
Money Line: Dallas Mavericks 205/Phoenix Suns -252
Power Rating:

Probable Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell
Phoenix Suns PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton

Key Injuries

Dallas Mavericks Maxi Kleber: Neck (QUESTIONABLE) Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

Phoenix Suns Dario Saric: Knee (OUT)

The Phoenix Suns host the Dallas Mavericks in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Footprint Center.

Recent Form

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 25-20. Over their last five games, the Mavericks have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 108.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. The Mavericks have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 102.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 104.5. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, the team fell to Phoenix by a score of 121-114.

The Phoenix Suns come into this game with an overall record of 64-18, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far, Phoenix is above .500 at home, holding a record of 35-10. The Suns have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Phoenix’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 113.0 points per game. Combined, the Suns’ last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. The Suns have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 107.6. In the Phoenix Suns’ most recent game, Phoenix took down Dallas by a score of 121-114.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Dallas travels to take on the Phoenix Suns, the Mavericks’ leading scorer is Luka Doncic. Through 67 games, Doncic is averaging 28 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 42.0% of his games. So far, the Suns are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, placing them 17th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Devin Booker leads the Suns in scoring, averaging 26 points across his 79 games. Throughout the season, Booker has outscored his season average in 48.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Booker will need to do so against a Mavericks defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 37.5%. This figure is good for a rank of 1st in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 35 of Phoenix’s 80 games, leading to a winning percentage of 80%. So far, the Dallas Mavericks have played 6 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 6 times, by an average margin of -8.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns have met up for 4 games. In their last meeting, Phoenix picked up a 121-114 win.

How the Public is Betting the Mavericks vs Suns

67% are betting the Suns against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 216

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into game 2 of this Western Conference Semi-Finals series between Dallas and Phoenix, look for the Suns to pick up the win but for the Mavs to cover at +6.5. In game 1, Dallas hit 5 more three-point shots and outscored Phoenix in the paint. However, they only went 18 of 25 from the free-throw line, whereas the Suns were perfect at 18/18. Even though the Suns are once again the 6.5-point favorites, the Mavericks appear up to the task of making this a competitive series. I like Dallas ATS.